In today’s briefing:
- Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation
- Memory Monitor: Micron Results Show Clear Signs of Memory Market Upswing; DRAM Growth Upgraded
- United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Aug 2024 notebook shipment update
- Esker – Proposed bid for the company confirmed
Memory Monitor: Upcoming Micron Results & Outlook Key Amid Reports of Inventory Liquidation
- Memory stocks underperformed the market, falling sharply with the recent overall market rout and failing to rebound sufficiently with the latest market rally.
- Leading Memory names Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung are all substantially below their 52-week highs after market reports of slowing memory demand from PC and mobile industries and inventory liquidation.
- Taiwan names Nanya Tech, Silicon Motion, Phison are all we below their highs. Micron results on September 25th MT will provide a major outlook update for the market.
Memory Monitor: Micron Results Show Clear Signs of Memory Market Upswing; DRAM Growth Upgraded
- Micron’s latest results show a clear improvement in the Memory cycle. The company’s gross margin increased and guided for a further strong margin increase next quarter.
- Micron increased its overall DRAM industry growth forecast while maintaining its NAND flash forecast. Micron reiterated expectations for FY2025E to deliver record revenue for the company, with improving profitability.
- Positive news for fallen Memory industry shares — Within our Memory universe we have Structural Long ratings for Micron Technology (MU US), SK Hynix (000660 KS), and Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO US).
United Microelectronics: Intel Foundry Should Take a Stake; Latest News Makes This More Likely
- Given UMC’s partnership with Intel to produce chips using Intel’s 12nm fab capacity, we believe latest Intel developments increase the opportunity for Intel Foundry to take a stake in UMC.
- Intel’s Foundry business makes a strong partner for UMC who has deep foundry experience and talent, but doesn’t have leading edge fabs nor the balance sheet to build them.
- If Intel Foundry Services spins out or Intel strengthens its balance sheet through a deal with Qualcomm/Apollo, the potential for a deeper UMC-Intel Foundry partnership becomes even more compelling.
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (26-Sep-2024): Aug 2024 notebook shipment update
- Aug 2024 Notebook shipments on track for delivery with tracking information soon. Apple MR device facing possible upgrade to 1,500 PPI OLED display.
- Automotive CIS tech set to advance by 2024. Taiwan offers permanent residence to address talent shortage in AI industry.
- UK showcases compound semiconductor strength and collaboration with Taiwan. Henkel expands semiconductor focus in India for market growth.
Esker – Proposed bid for the company confirmed
Alongside its H124 results, Esker confirmed that Bridgepoint, in association with General Atlantic and management shareholders, is proposing a cash public tender offer for the company at €262 per share. This represents a 30% premium to the unaffected share price on 8 August. The supervisory board has welcomed the principle of the offer. If the tender offer is successful (ie 60% or more of shares are tendered), the deal is expected to complete in late Q424 or early Q125.