In today’s briefing:
- NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks
- Softbank (9984 JP) – Despite the High NAV Discount, We See Greater Headwinds; Downgrading to Neutral
- Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging
- Italian Savings Shares
- C.E. Info Systems (Mapmyindia)- Forensic Analysis
- Tencent/Netease: One Approval for Tencent in September
- Samsara Inc (IOT) – Sunday, Jun 30, 2024
- GlobalFoundries. Share Price Down 17% Below IPO Price & Down 30% Since July. But Why?
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel’s EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.
- Nano Dimension – Scaling up
NPS Cash Inflow Projections for KRX Value-Up Index & Surging Interest in KOSDAQ Stocks
- NPS will likely use the KRX Value-Up Index as its benchmark, with Long-Term Growth and Value categories likely to adopt it.
- When NPS shifts to the Value-Up Index, KOSDAQ stocks will likely drive significant flow impacts due to their lower overlap.
- These non-overlapping KOSDAQ stocks, attracting over 1 trillion won, could see significant price impacts as funds gradually flow in.
Softbank (9984 JP) – Despite the High NAV Discount, We See Greater Headwinds; Downgrading to Neutral
- The SoftBank NAV discount is historically high, which makes it appear optically attractive; despite this, we turn neutral on SoftBank group from our previous positive recommendation, due to its headwinds
- JPY strength is a key challenge, especially since the new Japanese prime minister supports the BoJ normalising monetary policy; this means BoJ tightening whilst many other central banks are easing
- Arm Holdings’ super premium valuation versus its peers is another potential headwind for SoftBank group shares and NAV, combined with the high correlation between Arm Holdings and SoftBank group shares
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Back Below 15%; ASE Short Interest Surging
- TSMC: +14.2% Premium; Can Consider Going Long at Current Level
- UMC: +1.8% Premium; The ADR Headroom Has Decreased Yet Again
- ASE: +5.4% Premium; Short Interest Surging for The Local Shares
Italian Savings Shares
- Italian savings shares (azioni di risparmio) are non-voting stocks offering higher dividend yields. They prioritize income over governance influence, appealing to investors who prefer steady returns over company decision-making power.
- Ordinary shares command higher prices due to voting rights and control, while preference shares are valued lower. In Italy, control is highly valued, thus a significant premium for ordinary shares.
- Following mandatory conversions, the two remaining tradable situations are Danieli (whose mandatory October 2020 conversion seems postponed) and Telecom Italia, trading at a premium awaiting dividends in arrears.
C.E. Info Systems (Mapmyindia)- Forensic Analysis
- CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (1052633Z IN) is one of the leading Indian players engaged in advanced digital maps, geospatial software and location-based IoT technologies. It launched its IPO in 2021
- Since its IPO, MAPPLS has embarked on a growth journey since then. It also boasts high margins & ROCE due to its asset light model.
- While the balance sheet looks good, one might have to check on the speedy receivables and trend of commission expenses.
Tencent/Netease: One Approval for Tencent in September
- China announced game approval for the September batch. The number of games approved remained at a higher level than 2023.
- The pace of China game approval appears to have accelerated to the same level as pre-tightening.
- Of the companies that we are monitoring, Tencent and Kingsoft got one approval each.
Samsara Inc (IOT) – Sunday, Jun 30, 2024
- Samsara is focused on monitoring and optimizing operations through its technology
- Strong revenue growth and market potential attract investors
- Becoming the “system of record” for operational intelligence could lead to increased customer retention and expansion opportunities
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
GlobalFoundries. Share Price Down 17% Below IPO Price & Down 30% Since July. But Why?
- Tier 2 foundry revenue recovery is taking far longer than most expected.
- Globalfoundries 2024 CapEx is less than one tenth of what SMIC is spending. Even Hua Hong is spending more. This makes investors nervous.
- Globalfoundries CapEx strategy is a pragmatic one and will pay dividends in the years to come
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Oct-2024): Intel’s EUR10B plant stalls in Germany.
- Intel’s EUR10 billion semiconductor plant in Germany faces delays due to budget battles over chips and batteries, impacting the nation’s technology sector and economic growth.
- Taiwan’s luxury car market growth reflects its prosperous economy, while the country continues to prioritize a nuclear-free energy agenda despite increasing energy needs.
- AI is revolutionizing nuclear energy production, enhancing efficiency and safety, leading to innovative developments in the industry and heightened global interest. StarLux Airlines is boosting Taiwan’s role as a transit hub in Asia amidst evolving global dynamics.
Nano Dimension – Scaling up
Nano Dimension has agreed to acquire Markforged, a specialist in additive manufacturing (AM) for metal and advanced composites, for cash of $115m. The deal requires regulatory and Markforged shareholder approval, which, if granted, should allow the deal to close by the end of Q125. The combination of Nano Dimension, Desktop Metal (acquisition process underway) and Markforged had pro forma revenue of $340m in FY23. This deal further broadens the product portfolio with the addition of a new printing technology, strengthens Nano Dimension’s position in metal AM and provides greater scale, which should support the path to profitability for the combined group.