In today’s briefing:
- Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall
- TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (September 2024)
- PC Partner (1263 HK): Goodbye Hong Kong; Hello Singapore
- NEXTDC Placement – Good Track Record but Seems Opportunistic
- Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium
- S&P 500/400/600 Changes – DELL, PLTR, and ERIE Added, AAL, ETSY, BIO Deleted
- Portfolio Update: August 2024
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Sep-2024): Global smartphones, 2Q ’24
- Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple’s AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered
- Cynd (4256) – Tuesday, Jun 11, 2024
Timing a Trade to Capitalize on KT’s November Global Index Deletion and the ETF Recall
- KT’s foreign room is likely staying below 3.75% for November, setting up an ETF recall play. We’ve seen short-term buying pressure in similar past index reshuffles.
- The ETF recall impact peaks right after the announcement. KT’s May downweight saw a 5% spike in two trading days post-announcement.
- KT’s price moves more with downweights than SK Telecom’s because of higher overseas borrowing demand. This trend should hold, so setting up a position before the November announcement makes sense.
TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (September 2024)
- Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
- SUNWELS Co (9229 JP) and Macbee Planet (7095 JP) moved to the Prime market in July 2024 and their TOPIX Inclusion events took place at the end of August 2024.
- We currently have CELSYS (3663 JP), Japan Eyewear Holdings (5889 JP), and Core Concept Technologies Inc (4371 JP) in our TOPIX Inclusions pre-event watchlist.
PC Partner (1263 HK): Goodbye Hong Kong; Hello Singapore
- On the 18th June, personal computer parts and accessories play PC Partner (1263 HK) (PCP) announced a SGX listing was under consideration; and a possible withdrawal of the HKEx listing.
- PCP’s 30th August announcement provided clarity on a step-by-step approach for the HKEx withdrawal. I recently held zooms with the SFC and SGX for added clarification.
- PCP’s exchange relocation is predicated on PCP’s operational expansion into new markets, in particular, Southeast Asia. How and when the SGX becomes the preferred trading exchange remains an unanswered question.
NEXTDC Placement – Good Track Record but Seems Opportunistic
- Nextdc Ltd (NXT AU) aims to raise around US$366m via a fully underwritten institutional placement, along with another US$133m via a non-underwritten SPP.
- The company has undertaken a number of deals in the past, most of which have done ok. Although this one appears to be a bit opportunistic.
- In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC 33% Growth, UMC Headroom Decrease, ASE Historically Low Premium
- TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Sales Rose 33% YoY in August & Headroom Increased
- UMC: +1.8% Premium; Largest Monthly Decrease in ADR Headroom, Has Consistently Been Decreasing Since May
- ASE: +2.0% Premium; At Current Level Can Consider Going Long the Premium
S&P 500/400/600 Changes – DELL, PLTR, and ERIE Added, AAL, ETSY, BIO Deleted
- Last Friday, the S&P Index Committee announced the changes to the S&P500, S&P400, S&P600, and other indices, along with the result of a recent consultation on capping methodology.
- The result is about US$23bn a side of flows for the major indices
- In the S&P500, DELL, PLTR, and ERIE are ADDs. AAL, ETSY, and BIO are DELETEs. But as always, just knowing the names is deceptive. The history matters more.
Portfolio Update: August 2024
- Welcome back to the portfolio updates series! This month, I enjoyed a long vacation with my family, spending three weeks traveling through Italy by car.
- We began our journey from our home near Munich, which allowed us to traverse the entire country from north to south and back again.
- We entered Italy through South Tyrol and drove down to Tuscany, where we spent a week. Afterward, we continued our journey all the way down to Puglia, where we stayed for ten days before making the return trip.
Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Sep-2024): Global smartphones, 2Q ’24
- Global smartphone sales are anticipated to rise in Q2 2024, presenting an opportunity for Taiwanese firms to act quickly.
- IBM’s Kyndryl spinoff is focusing on addressing India’s cybersecurity talent shortage, signaling the need for immediate action.
- Apple is prioritizing user privacy in its slow launch strategy, while Huawei revolutionizes mobile innovation with a triple-fold smartphone.
Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Becoming More Dominant; Apple’s AI Opportunity; Taiwan Market Hammered
- TSMC Extends Global Foundry Dominance Amid 33% Sales Surge – A Buy on Weakness Despite Market Concerns
- Apple ‘Glowtime’ AI Announcements: Mixed Analyst and Media Reactions May Overlook Key Advantage — Apple Is Best Positioned to Seamlessly Integrate AI Into Your Smartphone Experience
- Taiwan Market Gainers & Losers: Consumer Electronics & Memory Names Some of the Hardest Hit
Cynd (4256) – Tuesday, Jun 11, 2024
- CYND Co., Ltd. is a dominant player in the reservation management software for beauty salons in Japan, with 90% of its revenue coming from recurring contracts
- The company has high barriers to scale and has acquired its second largest competitor, effectively eliminating competition
- CYND has the potential to significantly increase its revenue over the next decade, led by its co-founders with strong insider ownership, and is currently valued at JPY 4.1bn with a projected net 10-year IRR of 24.1% for Sun Mountain.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.