In today’s briefing:
- New Information on Korea Value-Up Index Scoring System & Constituent Weighting
- Roland DG (6789 JP): Brother (6448 JP)’s Unexpected Competing Hostile Offer
- Optus Sale Would Be A BIG Payday For SingTel
- Roland DG (6789) – Brother (6448) Launches Hostile Overbid to Taiyo MBO – You Love To See It
- Microsoft Chairman & CEO: AI, Chip Shortage, Empathy, and Poetry
- Angel Robotics: IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis
- Broadcom Inc: A Stable Semiconductor & Software Ecosystem! – Key Drivers
- Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.
- CrowdStrike Holdings: Expansion Of Cloud Security With Flow Security Acquisition & 6 Key Growth Drivers – Financial Forecasts
- MongoDB Inc.: Growing Interest and Demand for AI Applications Can Revolutionize Growth? – Key Drivers
New Information on Korea Value-Up Index Scoring System & Constituent Weighting
- KRX considers a comprehensive change to the Value-up Index scoring system. Weightings emphasize ROE, PER, and FCF while reducing PBR weight.
- KRX considers adopting scoring-based constituent weighting to prevent JPX Prime 150’s issues, but NPS opposes. Float market cap weighting like JPX Prime 150 is contemplated to address concerns.
- Momentum trading in the Value-up initiative will favor low PER and high ROE stocks over low PBR. The semiconductor sector is anticipated to benefit significantly from float market cap-based weighting.
Roland DG (6789 JP): Brother (6448 JP)’s Unexpected Competing Hostile Offer
- Brother Industries (6448 JP) has disclosed an unexpected competing hostile offer for Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) at JPY5,200 per share, a marginal 3.3% premium to the Taiyo-sponsored MBO (JPY5,035).
- Unlike the Taiyo offer, the Brother offer is pre-conditioned on regulatory approvals and has a proposed start date of mid-May. The Board is evaluating the Brother offer.
- The Board’s three options with declining probability are to ask Taiyo for a bump, continue to recommend an unchanged Taiyo offer or recommend the Brother offer.
Optus Sale Would Be A BIG Payday For SingTel
- Reportedly (AFR), Singtel (ST SP) is in advanced talks to sell Optus, Australia’s second-largest telco, to Brookfield for A$16bn-A$18bn.
- SingTel quickly countered there is no impending deal; and “Optus remains an integral and strategic part of the Singtel Group and we are committed to Australia for the long term.”
- Optus’ EBITDA in 3Q24 and 9M24 fell 1.8% and 8.3% in S$ terms. Extrapolating out for FY24E suggests pricing under this (very) indicative Offer of around 7.6-8.6 turns of EBITDA.
Roland DG (6789) – Brother (6448) Launches Hostile Overbid to Taiyo MBO – You Love To See It
- A month ago, Engagement Investor Taiyo Pacific Partners launched an MBO on Roland DG Corp (6789 JP) after having done a takeover of their former sub years ago.
- I said it was too cheap. Machinery company Brother Industries (6448 JP) has decided the same, and has announced a hostile/unsolicited overbid 3.3% higher. Tender to start in May. Fun!!!
- This will almost certainly get bid even higher as people would expect the MBO bidders won’t simply give up. More below.
Microsoft Chairman & CEO: AI, Chip Shortage, Empathy, and Poetry
- The speaker reflects on the excitement and nervousness of facing a new platform shift in technology and the need for continual innovation
- They consider the broader economic impact of technological advancements, like AI, and the potential for breakthroughs in various industries
- The decision to partner with OpenAI was driven by Microsoft’s history of seeking out ambitious technology innovators to collaborate with, even when the outcome is uncertain.
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Angel Robotics: IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis
- Angel Robotics reported exceptional IPO bookbuilding results. Angel Robotics’ IPO price has been determined at 20,000 won, which is 33% higher than the high end of the IPO price range.
- A total of 2,067 institutional investors participated in this IPO book building. The demand ratio was 1,157 to 1. Angel Robotics will start trading on 26 March 2024.
- We remain positive on Angel Robotics. There is likely to be a sharp overshooting of its share price relative to its intrinsic value on the first day of trading.
Broadcom Inc: A Stable Semiconductor & Software Ecosystem! – Key Drivers
- Broadcom reported consolidated net revenue of $12 billion, a 34% increase year-on-year, with semiconductor solutions contributing $7.4 billion, up 4% from the previous year.
- Infrastructure software revenue saw a significant increase of 153% year-on-year, totaling $4.6 billion.
- These improvements are due in part to the contribution from VMware, which has resulted in a sequential jump in revenue by 132%.
Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.
- The short-term recovery momentum observed in China and consumer markets.
- The Gen 3 in 4Q23 accounts for about 50% of the production, expected to increase to around 60-70% in 4Q24F.
- Expecting to improve quarter by quarter after reaching the bottom in 1Q24F, and the growth is expected to recover to around 20%+ YoY in 2024F.
CrowdStrike Holdings: Expansion Of Cloud Security With Flow Security Acquisition & 6 Key Growth Drivers – Financial Forecasts
- CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., a leader in the cybersecurity sector, reported an impressive fourth quarter and fiscal year for 2024 during its latest earnings conference call.
- The call highlighted several positive aspects of the company’s performance such as a record net new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $282 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 27%.
- Furthermore, the company achieved a record operating margin of 25%, an improvement of 10 percentage points when compared to the previous year.
MongoDB Inc.: Growing Interest and Demand for AI Applications Can Revolutionize Growth? – Key Drivers
- MongoDB reported robust Q4 results, with revenues reaching $458 million, marking a 27% YoY increase and exceeding the high end of the company’s guidance.
- MongoDB’s Atlas product line grew by 34% YoY, accounting for 68% of the company’s total revenue.
- The company also reported a healthy business quarter, owing much of this success to acquiring new workloads from existing Atlas customers.