Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Kioxia Holdings , Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR, Kaonavi Inc, Ibotta , Nasdaq-100 Stock Index, Talabat Holding, Acer Inc, ServiceTitan, Micronics Japan, Asustek Computer and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Kioxia Part 2: Financials (Under-Investments, Razor-Thin FCF), Valuations (Memory Cycle Has Peaked)
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: New China Tech Restrictions Monday; PC Demand Commercial Vs. Consumer Disconnect
  • Has the Kaonavi Story Changed? (4435 JP )
  • Ibotta Inc (IBTA) – Wednesday, Aug 28, 2024
  • EQD | Nasdaq-100 Vs. Gold – A Relative Value Volatility Strategy with an Edge
  • Talabat Holding IPO Preview
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.
  • ServiceTitan IPO Preview: Great Success Story, Leader at Scale In The Trade Industry
  • Micronics Japan (6871 JP): Q3 FY12/24 flash update
  • PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump


Kioxia Part 2: Financials (Under-Investments, Razor-Thin FCF), Valuations (Memory Cycle Has Peaked)

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Kioxia has been under-investing in Capex (27% of revenue versus competitors 37%) and R&D (5% versus 11%) because Free Cash Flow is low, too low to pay back debt. 
  • The Memory cycle peaked in June-24 and NAND prices have been declining since. Memory stocks (Micron, Samsung, SK Hynix) peaked in June. 
  • The valuations multiples that reconcile with a US$4.9bn market value are half or one-third that of competitors. A huge discount is applied, reflecting the financial and technological weakness of Kioxia. 

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New China Tech Restrictions Monday; PC Demand Commercial Vs. Consumer Disconnect

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • US Set to Unveil New Wave of Semiconductor Restrictions on China
  • Hon Hai Subsidiary Says Progress for Nvidia GB200 Servers is Smooth, Mass Production in 2025E
  • PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump 

Has the Kaonavi Story Changed? (4435 JP )

By Michael Fritzell

  • On Monday, I had the great pleasure to speak to Kaonavi’s (4435 JP – US$131 million) CFO, Kimitaka Hashimoto.
  • He provided color on Kaonavi’s second-quarter earnings result, which were released on 13 November and led to a negative reaction from the market.
  • In short, Kaonavi is a Japanese developer of talent management software. It helps companies manage their employees by solving staffing problems, designing their organizational structure, performance reviews, surveys, training, internal recruitment, etc.

Ibotta Inc (IBTA) – Wednesday, Aug 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Ibotta operates a performance network connecting consumers with CPG companies and retailers for digital promotions and cashback rewards
  • Despite a successful IPO, Ibotta has seen a significant derating due to failing to meet expectations
  • Strong partnerships, growing user base, and unique business model suggest potential for a 56% upside towards a price target of $90 and eventually $120

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


EQD | Nasdaq-100 Vs. Gold – A Relative Value Volatility Strategy with an Edge

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • A rare cross asset relative value opportunity; time horizon two months, market neutral, near zero-cost premium.
  • The strategy exploits the historically low difference between implied volatilities for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) and the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD US).
  • This insight lays out trade rationale, historical context, fundamental drivers, and trade implementation. Nasdaq-100 Vega exposure provides the strategy with an extra edge and tailwind for success.

Talabat Holding IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Talabat Holding, one of the leading food delivery platforms in the MENA region, is getting ready to complete an IPO in Dubai. 
  • IPO price is between AED 1.50 ($0.41) and AED 1.60 per share. At the high end of IPO price range, Talabat could raise up to AED 7.5 billion (US$2 billion).
  • The final IPO offer price will be announced on Friday (29 November). This IPO is expected to start trading on 10 December. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (28-Nov-2024): India PC market recovering, slight shipment growth in 3Q24.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • India’s PC market shows growth in 3Q24, indicating signs of recovery in the industry after a challenging period.
  • Taiwan’s aerospace industry experiences a surge in ambitions amidst global security worries, highlighting the region’s competitive edge.
  • Samsung makes changes in leadership with new foundry CTO appointment, signaling a strategic shift in the company’s direction.

ServiceTitan IPO Preview: Great Success Story, Leader at Scale In The Trade Industry

By Andrei Zakharov

  • ServiceTitan, a VC-backed cloud-based software company for the home and commercial service industries, files to go public and may raise up to $500M.
  • The company serves many trades, including plumbing, HVAC, garage doors, landscaping, pest control, water treatment, heating, construction and others.
  • ServiceTitan is well positioned as a leader at scale in the trade industry. They currently operate in the United States, Canada and see significant opportunity in international markets.

Micronics Japan (6871 JP): Q3 FY12/24 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Cumulative Q3 FY12/24 sales increased 52.7% YoY, with operating profit up 224.6% YoY, driven by memory probe cards.
  • Segment sales reached JPY37.4bn (+53.9% YoY), with memory probe card sales at JPY11.0bn (+54.6% YoY).
  • Full-year FY12/24 forecast remains unchanged, with sales progress at 70.9% and operating profit at 74.5%.

PC Monitor: Dell & HPQ Highlight Sharp Divide Between Corporate and Consumer PC Demand; Shares Slump

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Soft PC Results from Dell and HPQ and Delayed Industry PC Upgrades into  2025E; Dell and HPQ Shares Fall Sharply
  • Conclusion: Both Firms Confirm Relative Strength for Commercial and Weakness for Consumer; AI PCs and Windows 11 to Drive 2025E Upgrades
  • Asia PC Makers Showing Stronger Growth; However, Dell & HPQ Share Rout May Weigh on Sentiment

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