Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: iClick Interactive Asia Group, CELSYS, Infosys Ltd, Microsoft Corp, Meta Platforms (Facebook), Servicenow Inc, Amphenol Corp Cl A, Lam Research, International Business Machines, ASML Holding NV and more

In today’s briefing:

  • IClick (ICLK US): Offer Price In Line With Net Cash
  • TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2024)
  • India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February
  • Microsoft Q2 Earnings Review
  • Meta Platforms: Model Update
  • ServiceNow Inc: The Increasing Scope Of Its Gen AI technology And Other Major Drivers
  • Amphenol Corporation: AI Advancements & Capacity Management As A Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers
  • Lam Research Corporation: Navigating Industry Inflections With Superior Tools & Customer-Centric Solutions! – Major Drivers
  • IBM Corporation: Is The Infrastructure Revenue Decline A Cause For Concern? – Major Drivers
  • ASML Holding ADR: Increasing Utilization Rates and Technology Transition Could Be A Transformative Force? – Major Drivers


IClick (ICLK US): Offer Price In Line With Net Cash

By David Blennerhassett

  • The EGM to vote on the privatisation of iClick (ICLK US) takes place on the 8th March.  The Offer price is US$4.08/ADS (US$0.816/share), bang in-line with iClick’s 1H23 net cash/share. 
  • That’s a far cry from the 2021 non-binding Offers of US$75/ADS and US$67.50/ADS from Infinity Equity Management and PAG/Oasis respectively – after adjusting for November 2022’s reverse share split. 
  • The Buyer Group owns 35% of shares out and 69% of the vote. The Merger requires at least two-thirds of the voting power of shares out. So this is done. 

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Feb 2024)

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • Quiddity’s “Who is Ready” series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.
  • The TOPIX Inclusion events of Visional (4194 JP) and Furuya Metal (7826 JP) took place at the end of January and the price performances were mostly in line with expectations.
  • Currently, there are no upcoming TOPIX Inclusion events that have been announced officially but there are couple of pre-event names that should be on your watchlist.

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

By Brian Freitas

  • Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.
  • The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
  • There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.

Microsoft Q2 Earnings Review

By From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

  • Microsoft reported results on January 30th. The company generated revenue in excess of 62bn dollars during the fourth quarter of 2023, increasing 17% on a yearly basis and exhibiting a 4yr CAGR of 13.8%.
  • It’s worth highlighting that Activision contributed to 4pp of revenue growth.
  • During July, a court filing was leaked, which illustrated management’s self-stated ambition for the next decade.

Meta Platforms: Model Update

By MBI Deep Dives

  • So I took this weekend to update my models on Meta and Amazon. I just wanted to leave some brisk thoughts on these updated models.
  • I will start with Meta today and will share my thoughts on Amazon tomorrow.
  • You can find the updated model on Meta here which I encourage you to download to play around with your own narrative as you see fit.

ServiceNow Inc: The Increasing Scope Of Its Gen AI technology And Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ServiceNow’s Q4 2023 earnings present a compelling story of growth powered by artificial intelligence (AI).
  • The company reported subscription revenue growth of 25.5% at constant currency, 200 basis points above its guidance and cRPO growth of 23% at constant currency, also 200 basis points above its guidance.
  • In addition, the company reported 168 deals greater than $1 million in net new ACV, a 33% increase from the previous year.

Amphenol Corporation: AI Advancements & Capacity Management As A Growth Catalyst! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Amphenol Corporation announced its fourth quarter and full year results for 2023 with the company closing the quarter with sales of $3,327 million and record adjusted diluted EPS of $0.82.
  • The company’s sales were up 3% in U.S. dollars for Q4, 4% sequentially, but down 1% organically compared to Q4 2022.
  • In contrast, the full year saw a drop with sales of $12,555 million, which was a decline of 50 basis points in U.S. dollars and a 3% organic decrease compared to 2022.

Lam Research Corporation: Navigating Industry Inflections With Superior Tools & Customer-Centric Solutions! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • In the recent earnings, Lam Research Corporation demonstrated strong performance in the December quarter of 2023.
  • Financial highlights include higher revenues, gross margin, operating margin, and EPS above guided ranges.
  • Although overall wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending declined, the company almost doubled its EPS compared to the cycle trough in 2019.

IBM Corporation: Is The Infrastructure Revenue Decline A Cause For Concern? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The latest earnings of IBM revealed solid growth across all businesses for the last quarter of 2023, with a revenue growth of 3% and over $11 billion of free cash flow.
  • The achievements and progress noted by IBM’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Arvind Krishna, corroborate the company’s commitment towards strengthening its diversified business model.
  • Key drivers of IBM’s success during the year 2023 were enhancements in its software portfolio and the bolstering of its consulting position.

ASML Holding ADR: Increasing Utilization Rates and Technology Transition Could Be A Transformative Force? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ASML, a leading manufacturer of chip-making equipment, has reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2023, demonstrating strong financial performance despite a challenging macroeconomic landscape marked by uncertainties.
  • The company reported net sales of EUR 7.2 billion in Q4, coming in just above the guidance, mainly due to more installed base business.
  • This included EUV system revenue of EUR 2.3 billion and net system sales totalling EUR 5.7 billion, largely driven by Logic which accounted for 63% of net system sales, while Memory composes the remainder.

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