In today’s briefing:
- Japan – Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting*** Stocks
- Oizumi Mfg (6618) Gets Takeout from Parent Ferrotec (6890) – Probably Cheap, Disappointing Process
- HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 10 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs AGAIN See Outflows, Tencent and ETFs Big Buys
- NCsoft: Launch of Highly Anticipated Throne and Liberty MMORPG Game
Japan – Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting*** Stocks
- Persol Holdings, Hakuhodo Dy Holdings, Welcia Holdings, GMO Payment Gateway, CyberAgent Inc, Kobayashi Pharmaceutical, NGK Insulators, Lixil Group, Kurita Water Industries and Keio Corp have underperformed the Nikkei 225 recently.
- The underperformance could lead to selling from global passive trackers and liquidity events on some of the stocks at month-end.
- There has been an increase in short interest on most stocks over the last week as positioning for the liquidity event ramps up.
Oizumi Mfg (6618) Gets Takeout from Parent Ferrotec (6890) – Probably Cheap, Disappointing Process
- Ferrotec Corp (6890 JP) on Friday announced a takeover for subsidiary Ohizumi Mfg (6618 JP) on Friday. There will be synergies and growth and corporate value increase.
- The takeover price is not overly high, and includes no measure of synergies – not even the DCF value of delisting the company (no listing/filing/IR/legal fees/costs).
- I think this gets done. It is too closely held, there are few foreigners in it, and it’s not large enough for an activist to care.
HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 10 Nov 23); High-Div SOEs AGAIN See Outflows, Tencent and ETFs Big Buys
- This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
- SOUTHBOUND flows the last four weeks clearly indicate a momentum move. The top net sells are all down. The top buys are all up.
- Tencent and three ETFs see the top net buys as SOUTHBOUND bought HK$18.4bn this past week. Energy and Telco net sales persist. And persist. And persist.
NCsoft: Launch of Highly Anticipated Throne and Liberty MMORPG Game
- NCsoft plans to launch the highly anticipated new MMORPG game called Throne and Liberty in Korea on 7 December 2023.
- NCsoft reported operating profit of 16.5 billion won (down 89% YoY) and revenue of 423.1 billion won (down 30% YoY) in 3Q 2023.
- Throne and Liberty has a solid chance to become successful globally through Amazon Game platform, which is likely to drive a strong turnaround of NCsoft’s sales and profits.