In today’s briefing:
- Another Hidden Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Is Captured in Korea: SOL Semicon ETF December Rebal
- TSMC (2330.TT;TSM.US): Lukewarm 4Q23F Outlook, and Hope to Experience a Healthy Growth in 2024F.
- TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside
Another Hidden Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Is Captured in Korea: SOL Semicon ETF December Rebal
- For the impending December rebalancing, the effective date is set for December 18th, while the ETF rebalancing trading will take place on December 15th.
- Jusung Engineering and Eugene Technology are likely to be added, while Lake Materials and SFA Semicon are expected to exit the index.
- Aside from constituent changes, Hansol Chemical is anticipated to significantly benefit from the passive impact as the primary beneficiary of the ceiling reversion.
TSMC (2330.TT;TSM.US): Lukewarm 4Q23F Outlook, and Hope to Experience a Healthy Growth in 2024F.
- The revenue/ GM/ OPM/ EPS/ ROE is USD$17.57b/ 54.3%/ 41.7%/ NT$8.14/ 25.8% in 3Q23. The revenue/ GMO/ OPM is US$18.8-19.6bn/ 51.5-53.5%; OPM: 39.5-41.5% in 4Q23F guidance.
- Moving into 4Q23F, TSMC expects their business to be supported by smartphone seasonality, while AI-related demand continues to be strong.
- TSMC anticipates 2024F to experience healthy growth, and TSMC has noticed a resurgence in demand for smartphones and PCs.
TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside
- TSMC reported 3Q23 results yesterday — Gross margin beat expectations and remains near historical highs.
- TSMC maintains expectation of a 15-20% earnings CAGR through 2026E. Gross margin guided to remain near all-time highs.
- Accumulate TSMC as a Structural Long position — Undemanding multiple can drive Target Price NT$760 for ~40% Upside.