Daily BriefsTMT/Internet

Daily Brief TMT/Internet: Eugene Technology, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) – ADR and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Another Hidden Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Is Captured in Korea: SOL Semicon ETF December Rebal
  • TSMC (2330.TT;TSM.US): Lukewarm 4Q23F Outlook, and Hope to Experience a Healthy Growth in 2024F.
  • TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside


Another Hidden Passive Flow Trading Opportunity Is Captured in Korea: SOL Semicon ETF December Rebal

By Sanghyun Park

  • For the impending December rebalancing, the effective date is set for December 18th, while the ETF rebalancing trading will take place on December 15th.
  • Jusung Engineering and Eugene Technology are likely to be added, while Lake Materials and SFA Semicon are expected to exit the index.
  • Aside from constituent changes, Hansol Chemical is anticipated to significantly benefit from the passive impact as the primary beneficiary of the ceiling reversion.

TSMC (2330.TT;TSM.US): Lukewarm 4Q23F Outlook, and Hope to Experience a Healthy Growth in 2024F.

By Patrick Liao

  • The revenue/ GM/ OPM/ EPS/ ROE is USD$17.57b/ 54.3%/ 41.7%/ NT$8.14/ 25.8% in 3Q23. The revenue/ GMO/ OPM is US$18.8-19.6bn/ 51.5-53.5%; OPM: 39.5-41.5% in 4Q23F guidance.
  • Moving into 4Q23F, TSMC expects their business to be supported by smartphone seasonality, while AI-related demand continues to be strong. 
  • TSMC anticipates 2024F to experience healthy growth, and TSMC has noticed a resurgence in demand for smartphones and PCs.

TSMC Results Highlight PC, Smartphone, Auto Turn-Arounds; Undemanding Valuation Can Drive 40% Upside

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC reported 3Q23 results yesterday — Gross margin beat expectations and remains near historical highs.
  • TSMC maintains expectation of a 15-20% earnings CAGR through 2026E. Gross margin guided to remain near all-time highs.
  • Accumulate TSMC as a Structural Long position — Undemanding multiple can drive Target Price NT$760 for ~40% Upside.

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