In today’s briefing:
- AMD. It’s A Marathon, Not A Sprint
- Amazon 1Q’24 Update
- KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends
- KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June
- Pre-IPO Ximalaya – The Potential Risks and the Outlook
- Spectur Ltd – Strong YTD growth, capital raised to repay debt
- Esker – Targeting margin recovery in FY24
- Kin And Carta (KCT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024
- MotorK – Strong pipeline and cash target reaffirmed
- Vection Technologies – Moving from niche to mainstream markets
AMD. It’s A Marathon, Not A Sprint
- Q124 revenues of $5.5 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, down 11% QoQ but up 2% YoY.
- Looking ahead, AMD forecasted the current quarter revenues of $5.7 billion, up 3.6% sequentially.
- Share price down 7% in AH and down 35% from its recent 52 week high. We could see it retest the $100 level in the coming months
Amazon 1Q’24 Update
- Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.
- So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon’s earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.
- Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon’s guidance.
KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends
- With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
- Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.
- The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.
KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 5-6 Changes Possible from Now to June
- With the review period complete, there could be up to 5 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
- Hahn&Co now own over 96% of the shares in Ssangyong Cement Industrial (003410 KS) and there could be another change at or before the June rebalance.
- Passive trackers will need to trade between 0.5-15x ADV on the index changes. There are big shorts in L&F (066970 KS) and Lotte Tour Development Co, Ltd. (032350 KS).
Pre-IPO Ximalaya – The Potential Risks and the Outlook
- The key to Ximalaya turning losses into profits is not the outstanding performance in revenue side, but rather the effective cost control. The Company seems to have encountered growth bottleneck.
- To achieve long-term stable profits, it’s necessary to continuously optimize content quality, improve user experience, and expand paying user scale, but Ximalaya has shown “signs of fatigue” in this regard.
- AI technology brings big room for imagination, but the question here is how much would truly translate into a leap in financial performance? Ximalaya’s valuation could be lower than peers.
Spectur Ltd – Strong YTD growth, capital raised to repay debt
- Spectur Limited (ASX:SP3) is a surveillance technology company providing security, safety, environmental monitoring and visual AI solutions to watch and act on assets managed by its platform.
- The company develops, manufactures and sells solar- and battery-powered, remotely-connected hardware, which is driven by SP3’s firmware, software, cloud and web-apps, providing data and solutions to its customers.
- Spectur has reported a 35% increase in Q3 sales revenue to $1.261m on the previous corresponding period (pcp) (ASX release 26 April).
Esker – Targeting margin recovery in FY24
Esker reported FY23 results in line with our expectations. Revenue grew 12% (14% constant currency) while inflationary effects and sales commissions on bookings outperformance in H223 resulted in operating profit declining 16% y-o-y. The high level of contracts signed towards the end of FY23 provide good support for revenue growth in FY24 and FY25 and measures taken by management to improve productivity should drive margin expansion over our forecast period back into the company’s target range of 12–15%.
Kin And Carta (KCT) – Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024
- Investment opportunity in Kin and Carta (KCT LN) based on bumpitrage strategy
- Apax may increase bid by 20% or more, potentially leading to further upside
- Estimated downside of around 4% if Apax does not offer topping bid, with BC offer likely to proceed
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
MotorK – Strong pipeline and cash target reaffirmed
MotorK’s FY23 revenue growth was robust across most regions, with slow growth regions gaining momentum. Q124 revenue fell slightly year-on-year due to delayed delivery contracts, but these are expected to contribute to Q2 sales. Revenue quality improved, with software-as-a-service (SaaS) recurring revenue rising as a share of group revenue in FY23. M&A continues to play a pivotal role in unlocking opportunities across MotorK’s markets, providing potential average contract value (ACV) expansion from customers migrating to the platform. While personnel investments for growth swung EBITDA to a loss, MotorK’s holistic SparK platform remains well-positioned to capitalise on the automotive industry’s digital shift and technological innovation.
Vection Technologies – Moving from niche to mainstream markets
Vection’s Q324 update showed strong double-digit growth in revenue and cash receipts, driven by multiple contract wins, including its largest contract to date with an existing defence customer. A swing to positive operating cash flow in Q3 (A$4.1m), coupled with contract wins, validates the company’s streamlined sales structure, designed to bolster operational efficiency. Cash generated also supported a quarter-on-quarter reduction in debt. Management is seeing early positive signs by enhancing the platform’s compatibility with Apple Vision Pro, potentially unlocking a key growth avenue from rising enterprise adoption among large global players.