Daily BriefsThematic (Sector/Industry)

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Winning Streak; IQPS Shooting for the Stars and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Winning Streak; IQPS Shooting for the Stars
  • Stories Behind the Reported Nov 2023 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales
  • 2024 China’s Capital Market Outlook – Santa Claus Is Knocking on the Door


Ohayo Japan | Winning Streak; IQPS Shooting for the Stars

By Mark Chadwick

  • Overseas: SPX +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.4%; Six weeks of gains on strength in the job market
  • Today: NKY Futs +0.7% v cash. JPY145/$; Private Equity interest in Tsuruha; Rohm & Toshiba JV on SiC chips
  • JapanX: iQPS, a leader in small satellite SAR technology, recently debuted on the Tokyo Growth Market, securing funds to expand and provide vital real-time data for national security.

Stories Behind the Reported Nov 2023 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

By Andrew Lu

  • More clear y/y improvement for 8/12″ raw wafer, WiFi IC, GaAs RF/VCSEL, and memory vendors but more y/y deterioration for OLED/LCD driver, LCD panel, design service, equipment/materials, and foundry vendors.
  • GaAs RF and gaming GPU card vendors showed very impressive y/y sales growth of 54% and 63%, respectively. ABF substrate vendors showed the weakest sales decline of 34% among all.
  • Except A Data (+2.5% m/m) and Phison Electronics (+5.6% m/m) might see stronger share price to reflect stronger November sales, most of others see good/bad news in the price already.

2024 China’s Capital Market Outlook – Santa Claus Is Knocking on the Door

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Based on Fisher’s Law M*V=P*Q, the interest rate hikes in the US and management issues in China have led to continuous decline of V, thus forming the illusion of deflation.
  • The Fed’s rate hike is nearing its end. The huge amount of dollars need to be matched with corresponding assets. The only place with a matching assets pool is China.
  • If there’s a serious economic stagnation, recession, combined with hyperinflation, there may be a historic great depression. How China will respond is the key to determine the future global landscape.

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