Daily BriefsThematic (Sector/Industry)

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | Will the Rotation to Small Caps Continue? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | Will the Rotation to Small Caps Continue?
  • Semiconductor Equipment Stocks: A Bounce Before the Reckoning
  • Chinese Airlines: Diverging Performance
  • GEMWeekly (19 Jul 2024): China’s Third Plenum; India, Malaysia Macro; Kakao, Samsung Electronics


Ohayo Japan | Will the Rotation to Small Caps Continue?

By Mark Chadwick

  • The S&P 500 dropped 0.7% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.8%, both marking their worst week since April
  • Speculative short positions in the yen have dropped significantly following Japan’s suspected yen-buying intervention
  • Effissimo Capital Management, an activist investment fund, acquired 6.03% of Teijin’s shares

Semiconductor Equipment Stocks: A Bounce Before the Reckoning

By Scott Foster

  • Irate U.S. politicians have gunned down their own tech sector, triggering declines of 7% to 20% among leading semiconductor equipment stocks outside China. 
  • We expect a bounce after such large declines – and further gains for Naura and AMEC in China. 
  • Investors now face difficult questions about the future of Chinese demand, the sustainability of the AI boom, and valuations. We are not optimistic.

Chinese Airlines: Diverging Performance

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • All three Chinese airlines trimmed their losses in 1H24, suggesting a pick-up in sector fundamentals. However, their 2Q24 bottom line displayed different trends.
  • Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK) is performing the best, with QoQ improvement in both reported and recurring losses (reduction by 41.7% and 7.4%, respectively).
  • China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), however, dipped back into red in 2Q24 after making a profit in 1Q24. With Air China underperforming YTD, there is room to revenge in 2H24.

GEMWeekly (19 Jul 2024): China’s Third Plenum; India, Malaysia Macro; Kakao, Samsung Electronics

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
  • Macro data points: Chinese GDP growth, retail sales, and industrial production, Indian inflation data, and Malaysian GDO growth.
  • Companies mentioned:Kakao Corp (035720 KS), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

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