Daily BriefsThematic (Sector/Industry)

Daily Brief Thematic (Sector/Industry): Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit
  • Affordable Luxury: A Look Into Chinese Luxury (Part III)
  • [Blue Lotus Daily] BABA/JD/PDD/1024.HK/ZTO/1519.HK/BIDU/Tencent 700.HK
  • Chinese Airlines: Well Placed for a Reversal
  • [Blue Lotus Daily] Xiaomi 1810.HK/XPEV/NIO/LI/1211.HK/ATAT/BEKE/LKNCY/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR
  • China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Nov 10-16, 2023


Ohayo Japan | November Rally Takes a Rest; ValueAct Finds Value in Recruit

By Mark Chadwick

  • Overseas: SPX +0.1% , Nasdaq +0.1%; Relatively stable day. Walmart stock -8% on cautious outlook, Burberry -9% on weak luxury spend
  • Today: NKY Futs -0.1% v cash. JPY 150.8/$; Japan to scrap quarterly reporting? Asahi Group Share Offering
  • ValueAct’s investment into Recruit highlights continued opportunities and value in the Japanese market

Affordable Luxury: A Look Into Chinese Luxury (Part III)

By Alexis Dwek

  • Thanks to the rapidly expanding middle class, increasing incomes, and a strong desire for luxury, Chinese consumers are often seen as the embodiment of the luxury industry’s promising future
  • However, the market has seen competition intensify: Not only are international brands competing against each other, but the rise of domestic brands has brought the competitive landscape to another level
  • Since this summer, investors have been concerned by a shifting Chinese landscape in the context of the current economic situation

[Blue Lotus Daily] BABA/JD/PDD/1024.HK/ZTO/1519.HK/BIDU/Tencent 700.HK

By Ying Pan

  • BABA/ JD/ PDD/ 1024.HK/ ZTO/ 1519.HK: Double 11 eCommerce update (+)
  • BABA/BIDU/700HK: Alibaba Cloud crashed for several hours during the weekend (-/+/+)
  • On November 12, 2023 Alibaba Cloud reportedly crashed for several hours, and in the process resulted in outages for Alibaba services and customer websites that stopped functioning properly.

Chinese Airlines: Well Placed for a Reversal

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The Chinese airlines are best placed to ride on lower US interest rates and the induced weakening of USD given heavy USD debt, which amounts to 17.7% of the total.
  • A 1% drop in USD interest rates will save Rmb1.2bn, and this is more than the total profit they have generated in 9M23. FY24 will be a big swing year.
  • This is an overlooked sector as their share prices have dropped by an average of 21.8% YTD. However, profits turned around and revenue surged tremendously in the period. 

[Blue Lotus Daily] Xiaomi 1810.HK/XPEV/NIO/LI/1211.HK/ATAT/BEKE/LKNCY/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR

By Eric Wen

  • ATAT: Atour Group launches new version of Atour 4.0, higher price with better return(+)
  • XPEV/NIO/LI:  Huawei Chery Luxeed announce specs and pricing, impacting mostly high end sedans (-)
  • 981.HK/ 1347.HK/ ACMR: China lithography supplier planning A-share listing (+)

China Property Developers In Distress – Weekly News & Announcements Tracker | Nov 10-16, 2023

By Robert Ciemniak

  • A weekly curated selection of Chinese news articles and company announcements focused on developers in distress
  • We look for their deals, updates, specific project progress news (‘local signals’), as well as relevant local research commentaries about the market
  • We do not verify the underlying data or provide any opinion, we only select and summarize the information; See direct links to sources

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