In today’s briefing:
- Japan Morning Connection: 7&I Continues Restructuring Plan
- The Dark Side of the SME IPO Boom!
- [Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/000333 CH/600690 CH/000651 CH/1585 HK/NIUUS/603529CH
- Episode 88: AI Accellerators, Startup graveyard? With Special Guest Austin Lyons
- Asian Banks – Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months
- All Aboard! JR East and the Monetisation of Its Property Assets
- [Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US/JD US/700 HK/TCOM US/ATAT US
Japan Morning Connection: 7&I Continues Restructuring Plan
- Tech largely down in the US after AMD’s AI event failed to impress with somewhat conflicting CPI and jobless data.
- A strong print for Fast Retailing will add to short-seller woes although some brokers have started cutting estimates after the outsized move.
- 7&I announced a flurry of restructuring initiatives aimed at raising corporate value and fending off Couche-Tard before its too late.
The Dark Side of the SME IPO Boom!
- Resourceful Auto’s IPO saw a staggering subscription of 400 times, but its current market price is half its IPO value, revealing a troubling trend in SME IPOs.
- Many SME IPOs exhibit a “subscription mirage,” creating misleading impressions of value, while underlying businesses often lack sustainable operations and liquidity.
- Investors must prioritize fundamental analysis and awareness of liquidity risks over hype, especially in a market increasingly resembling Ponzi-like characteristics.
[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/000333 CH/600690 CH/000651 CH/1585 HK/NIUUS/603529CH
- NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US: Electric vehicle sales were strong during the two weeks of the National Day holiday, with NIO, Leap, Zeekr, Xiaomi and Tesla performing better(///////)
- Consumer sector: Steady Growth in Catering and Retail Consumption During the National Day Holiday(+)
- Consumer sector: WeChat reports 20% YoY increase in transaction volume during National Day Holiday (+)
Episode 88: AI Accellerators, Startup graveyard? With Special Guest Austin Lyons
- Transition from the Internet era of servers to the AI era of backend
- Software advancements are outpacing silicon capabilities
- Question raised about who will benefit from advances in AI technology, particularly in terms of hardware market competitiveness
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Asian Banks – Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months
- We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
- There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
- Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth
All Aboard! JR East and the Monetisation of Its Property Assets
- One of the sectors we like for the next phase of the Japanese stock market
- The market is not giving the benefit of the doubt to monetisation of its property portfolio
- The core railway business is back to pre-Covid 19 levels
[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:3690 HK/PDD US/BABA US/JD US/700 HK/TCOM US/ATAT US
- 3690 HK: Meituan’s Overseas Version, Keeta, Launches in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia(/)
- PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD to provide double compensation for overpriced product (//-/-)
- 700 HK/BABA US: Taobao now accessible through webpages in WeChat (+/+)