Daily BriefsSouth Korea

Daily Brief South Korea: Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index, KakaoBank , Doosan Bobcat Inc, Kumho Tire Co and more

In today’s briefing:

  • KRX’s Plan to Integrate KOSPI & KOSDAQ into a Tiered System: Trading Considerations
  • Kakao’s Kim Beom-Su Arrested: Analyzing Its Impact on Related Companies
  • Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations
  • Block Deal Sale of Kumho Tire: More Shares Likely to Be Sold by Creditors


KRX’s Plan to Integrate KOSPI & KOSDAQ into a Tiered System: Trading Considerations

By Sanghyun Park

  • The major framework of this realignment is likely decided, integrating KOSPI and KOSDAQ into a tiered system based on liquidity, market cap, and financial status, with periodic replacements.
  • The KOSPI 200’s continued existence is uncertain under the new realignment plan, which may shift its role to the value-up index, resembling Japan’s market restructuring model.
  • The first-tier market’s entry requirements will likely reflect value-up index criteria, suggesting greater speculative money movement toward the value-up index starting in September.

Kakao’s Kim Beom-Su Arrested: Analyzing Its Impact on Related Companies

By Sanghyun Park

  • Kakao’s Kim Beom-su has been arrested over alleged stock price manipulation in the SM Entertainment buyout, marking a new peak in the company’s legal troubles.
  • Kakao Corp’s stock might drop due to the absence of a key figure. KakaoBank could also struggle from uncertainty about its largest shareholder and weakened business ties.
  • Kakao’s potential sale of SM Entertainment shares could initially hurt the stock price, but potential bidding interest might boost it.

Robotics+Bobcat Merger: Merger Ratio Revision Possibility & Arb Spread Recalculations

By Sanghyun Park

  • During Kim Byung-hwan’s hearing, he acknowledged market concerns about the Doosan merger, increasing skepticism about Doosan’s ability to maintain the original merger ratio.
  • Calculating Bobcat’s net asset value using the net asset value method yields approximately ₩6.1T, derived from ₩5.95T in year-end equity plus ₩0.13T in adjustments.
  • Reassess arb trading opportunities; with no short hedge for Robotics, consider an outright long position in Bobcat if its swap price is revised and the spread widens.

Block Deal Sale of Kumho Tire: More Shares Likely to Be Sold by Creditors

By Douglas Kim

  • Woori Bank completed a block deal sale of 11 million shares of Kumho Tire Co (073240 KS) (3.83% of outstanding shares) on 18 July. 
  • After the recent sales by Woori Bank and the Export-Import Bank of Korea, the creditors’ stakes in Kumho Tire has been reduced to 19.17%.
  • Despite Kumho Tire’s recent improvement in financial performance, we are more concerned about the additional stake sale by the financial institutions that still own 19.2% stake in the company. 

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