Daily BriefsSouth Korea

Daily Brief South Korea: KMW Co Ltd, WCP, Posco Chemical Co Ltd, Coupang and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Long Short Setup on Douzone Bizon & KMW with K-New Deal Rebalancing on March 9
  • End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 35 Companies in Korea in March 2023
  • KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms
  • What to Check at Coupang Earnings Call Tomorrow

Long Short Setup on Douzone Bizon & KMW with K-New Deal Rebalancing on March 9

By Sanghyun Park

  • Another valuable long-short opportunity has arisen this time with K-New Deal rebalancing. The pair consists of Douzone Bizon and KMW, which have switched places in the Internet Index’s top three.
  • Due to their relatively low trading volume, the passive flow size (x ADTV) that this pair will face at the closing price on March 9th is expected to be significant.
  • This creates sufficient opportunities for a Long-Short setup in terms of day or swing trading. As KMW is a constituent of the KOSDAQ 150, it is possible to short KMW.

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 35 Companies in Korea in March 2023

By Douglas Kim

  • We discuss end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 35 stocks in Korea in March 2023, among which 8 are in KOSPI and 27 are in KOSDAQ.
  • These 35 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in March and could underperform relative to the market. 
  • Among these 35 stocks, the top 5 market cap stocks include Nh Investment & Securities, WCP, Bionote, Jeio, and Dreamtech. 

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Flows as Announcement Looms

By Brian Freitas

  • The review period for the March rebalance ended on 31 January, changes will be announced in the next few days and implemented at the close of trading on 9 March.
  • We forecast one add/delete for the Secondary Battery Index and Game Index, and a couple of adds/deletes for the BBIG Index. There will be a lot of capping changes.
  • The largest inflows are expected on Posco Chemical (003670 KS) and Douzone Bizon (012510 KS); the largest outflows are expected on SK Innovation (096770 KS) and KMW (032500 KS).

What to Check at Coupang Earnings Call Tomorrow

By Sanghyun Park

  • We first check whether additional cost savings have been achieved in the center and whether there has been any deterioration in short-term liquidity due to the hasty pursuit of automation.
  • Then, we check the soundness of new businesses such as quick commerce, which boasts delivery within 30 minutes but carries the risk of deteriorating short-term profitability.
  • Lastly, we check how seriously Coupang’s real estate cost structure has deteriorated and assess the risk that this could lead to devaluation by potentially undermining Coupang’s growth premium.

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