In today’s briefing:
- Merger Arb Mondays (11 Sep) – Eoflow, Mason, Liontown, Newcrest, United Malt, OreCorp, MPI
- KRX Sector Index Series Rebalancing: Heavy Shorting on SK Square Is Anticipated
- KOSPI Size Indices – Changes in September & Implications
Merger Arb Mondays (11 Sep) – Eoflow, Mason, Liontown, Newcrest, United Malt, OreCorp, MPI
- We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads – 111 Inc (YI US), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU), Eoflow (294090 KS), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), Mason Group Holdings (273 HK), Origin Energy (ORG AU).
- Lowest spreads – Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), T&K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP).
KRX Sector Index Series Rebalancing: Heavy Shorting on SK Square Is Anticipated
- The most noteworthy developments include Samsung Electronics being newly added to the Semicon sector, while SK Square has been removed.
- We must be mindful of the potential concentration of shorting flow on SK Square as most names expected to experience negative flows do not fall under the KS200/KQ150 membership.
- Our strategic approach can take three directions: 1. aim at only those receiving positive flows, 2. heavy shorting SK Square, and 3. long-short the four with the most flow size.
KOSPI Size Indices – Changes in September & Implications
- There are 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 LargeCap to MidCap, 8 new additions to MidCap, 17 SmallCap to MidCap, 23 MidCap to SmallCap, 5 new additions to SmallCap.
- The migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the stocks migrating between other segments by a huge margin over the last few months.
- Given the huge outperformance and looking at how the migrations have performed historically, we’d expect the stocks migrating to MidCap to underperform post implementation of the changes.