Daily Brief South Korea: Doosan Bobcat Inc, SK Innovation, Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 and more

In today’s briefing:

Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?
SK Innovation & SK E&S: Summary of the Controversy Surrounding the Merger Ratio
EQD | KOSPI 200 Sell-Off Could Accelerate This Week, But It’s A BUY

Reorganization of the Doosan Group: Why Delist Doosan Bobcat (Jewel of Doosan Group)?

On 11 July, the Doosan Group announced a major business structure reorganization, including the delisting of Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
In our view (over the next 3-6 months), these transactions appear to be value-destroying for Doosan Bobcat and Doosan Enerbility minority shareholders but positive for Doosan Robotics shareholders.
Doosan Robotics plans to acquire the remaining 54% stake in Doosan Bobcat through a tender offer. Once Doosan Robotics fully owns Doosan Bobcat, its shares will be delisted.

Interest in this merger is emerging from an unexpected angle, especially regarding the merger ratio’s fairness. There’s a risk it could unfavorably affect SK Innovation’s stock price.
SK Innovation at ₩108,000/share; SK E&S at ₩290,000/share based on strong profits. SK plans ratios around 1.3x total value and 2.7x per share. SK Inc may reach mid-70% stake post-merger.
SK Innovation’s stock may face short-term decline. Securing shareholder approval, with SK Inc at 36%, overseas investors 22%, local institutions 15%, local retail 20%, and NPS 7%, poses challenges.

The KOSPI 200 INDEX started a modest pullback and is entering a BUY area, but it could fall further this coming week, caution is advised.
The support levels to buy are between 383-371, this coming week.
Alternatively buy the Close, if the WEEKLY Close is negative, next Friday.

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