Daily BriefsSouth Korea

Daily Brief South Korea: CanariaBio, Samsung Electronics, Amorepacific Corp and more

In today’s briefing:

  • KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries
  • Samsung Electronics: Lee Jae-Yong Orders the Creation of a New Task Force to Raise Shareholder Value
  • Trading Ideas on the Possibility of Samsung Electronics’ Special Shareholder Returns
  • A Senior Korean Govt Official Provides the Likely Time of the End of Indoor Mask Mandate

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing: 7 Regular Changes + 2 Special Entries

By Sanghyun Park

  • KOSDAQ 150’s December rebalancing will feature seven regular changes and two special entries.
  • Among the additions, we should focus on Dear U and ISC, which have a balanced level of liquidity and flow, rather than those theme stocks with high volatility.
  • As for Nature Holdings, Eoflow, and Nextin, I suggest a more aggressive entry point due to low trading volume. Then, I’d basket-trade the deletions on equal weight.

Samsung Electronics: Lee Jae-Yong Orders the Creation of a New Task Force to Raise Shareholder Value

By Douglas Kim

  • On 4 October, it was reported that Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) has set up a task force to raise shareholder value of the company.
  • This task force was formed at the order of Samsung’s Vice Chairman Lee Jae-Yong.
  • All in all, a major share buyback and cancellations coupled with higher dividends could result in a share price turnaround for Samsung Electronics. 

Trading Ideas on the Possibility of Samsung Electronics’ Special Shareholder Returns

By Sanghyun Park

  • 1P/Ord LONG/SHORT betting on a 1P-skewed buyback does not look very desirable. The Lee family’s financial needs are short-term, so there is no need for a 1P-skewed buyback.
  • Given that the 1P discount rate has stabilized again, a strategy betting on the mean reversion does not seem very timely either.
  • We should look at the possibility that false expectations for a special year-end dividend will further deepen futures backwardation. This situation can lead to quite a juicy spot/futures spread opening.

A Senior Korean Govt Official Provides the Likely Time of the End of Indoor Mask Mandate

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past few days, a senior government Korean official announced that the indoor mask mandates will likely be lifted in March 2023.
  • Although this is not officially finalized, we believe that there is a very high probability of the Korean government finally ending the indoor mask mandate sometime in March 2023. 
  • The end of the indoor mask mandate is likely to have a positive impact on the Korean cosmetics companies. Nonetheless, we are still concerned about the relatively high valuation multiples.

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