Daily Brief Singapore: Sea and more

Shopee – Sea’s largest business unit and Southeast Asia’s largest e-commerce platform – has reported negative EBITDA for most of the 8 or so years since its launch. 

Investors now however appear to be looking for earnings growth. In 7 of the last 9 quarterly earnings reports, investors have rewarded the company every time it has reported earnings growth (its share price has gone up in the day after the release), and penalized when it has not.

Based on our analysis (and subject to the disclaimer included below), we expect Shopee’s GMV and Revenue to improve in Q4 2023 (as compared to the previous quarter) along with its EBITDA, although earnings will likely remain in negative territory.