In today’s briefing:
- AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors
- Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics
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AEM Holdings: More Short-Term Pain; Highly Attractive Valuation for Long-Term Investors
- AEM (AEM SP) published dismal 1Q24 results and kept its modest guidance for 1H24.
- AEM has announced new customer wins going into FY25 which should improve results materially next year. The sell-side has downgraded estimates aggressively making room for upside surprises next year.
- AEM has seen an implosion in investor confidence because of the inventory issues, and slow orders from its key customer Intel Corp (INTC US). Long-term investors should accumulate here.
Lippo Malls Indonesia – Event Flash – Exchange Offer For 2024 Notes; Q1 Results – Lucror Analytics
Yesterday, Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust (LMIRT) launched an exchange offer for the USD 7.25% 2024 notes maturing on June 19th, with an outstanding amount of USD 138.4 mn. The company has offered to exchange each of the USD 1,000 principal of the notes for USD 432 of USD 7.5% 2026 notes and a USD 600 cash payment. The funding will come from a credit facility of up to IDR 1.5 tn.
We recommend that holders of the 2024 notes participate in the offer. Considering that it requires 70% of holders to take part, holding out could cause the transaction to fall through, with LMIRT then defaulting on the notes.