Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent and more

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene
  • Screening for GEMs: October 2023
  • A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 29th): Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd
  • Northbound Flows (Sep 29th): Wuxi Apptec, Longi Green, Moutai, BYD, Ping An Insurance
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 29th): Meituan, Tencent, ICBC, Xpeng
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 29th): Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 22nd.
  • Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
  • We highlight short changes in Tencent, Baba, CCB, China Mobile, AIA, Innovent Bio, Beigene.

Screening for GEMs: October 2023

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
  • The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
  • Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 29th): Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Sep 29th.
  • The average A-H premium changed by 1.5ppt week on week, led by health care, industrials, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
  • We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile Group, Wuapptec Co Ltd.

Northbound Flows (Sep 29th): Wuxi Apptec, Longi Green, Moutai, BYD, Ping An Insurance

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 29th.
  • We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,482.1 million, led by financials, information technology, and offset by health care.
  • We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Longi Green, Moutai, BYD, Ping An Insurance, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye.

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 29th): Meituan, Tencent, ICBC, Xpeng

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 29th.
  • The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
  • We have highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, ICBC and Xpeng.

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 29th): Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD318.8bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD776mln and highlight foreign changes in Gigabyte, Hon Hai, Novatek, Quanta, Asia Vital.

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