Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: China & HK Strategy: Sell in September and Go Away and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China & HK Strategy: Sell in September and Go Away, Really?
  • KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 6th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Kia Corp.
  • TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 6th): Yageo, Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial
  • TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 6th): TSMC, Cathay Financial, Visual Photonics Epitaxy, Innolux


China & HK Strategy: Sell in September and Go Away, Really?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The HSI has declined 3% MTD, but based on history, there is more downside risk. Over the last 10 years, the Index has only returned positively in two September.
  • October is also not good, and the Index declined an average of 1.9% in the month since 2019. However, November and December are normally the best-performing ones. 
  • Prudent investors should stay conservative until October. By the end of next month, there are opportunities to increase position to take hold of the potential year-end rally. 

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 6th): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Kia Corp.

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Sep 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD545.5bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,276mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Kia Corp..

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 6th): Yageo, Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD928.2bn.
  • We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,648mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
  • We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Yageo, Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Mediatek, Ctbc Financial, Quanta Computer, Unimicron Technology.

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 6th): TSMC, Cathay Financial, Visual Photonics Epitaxy, Innolux

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 6th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.
  • We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases & decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
  • We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Cathay Financial, Visual Photonics Epitaxy, Innolux, Formosa Petrochemical, Ctbc Financial, Shin Kong Financial, Alchip Technologies.

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