Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Where Are We In the Global Liquidity Cycle? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Where Are We In the Global Liquidity Cycle?
  • EIA Forecasts Crude Oil Prices to Fall in 2025 Due to Weak Demand Growth


Where Are We In the Global Liquidity Cycle?

By Michael J. Howell

  • January 2024 another strong month for Global Liquidity which hits US$171.7 trillion
  • US Fed and China’s PBoC are in the forefront of adding liquidity
  • Global Liquidity Cycle trough in October 2022. Next peak late-2025

EIA Forecasts Crude Oil Prices to Fall in 2025 Due to Weak Demand Growth

By Suhas Reddy

  • EIA forecasts oil prices to gain during the first half of 2024 due to the Red Sea conflict and inventory withdrawals.
  • Downward pressure from lukewarm oil demand and oversupply to keep prices low in 2025.
  • US commercial crude oil inventories grew by 1.3% on a weekly basis but are 4% below the five year average for this time of year.

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