Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: UK: Retail Mourns Funeral with Closures and more

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Retail Mourns Funeral with Closures

UK: Retail Mourns Funeral with Closures

By Phil Rush

  • The hangover from Prime Day deepened to mourning in September as the UK returned to something akin to lockdown with widespread closures for the Queen’s funeral.
  • A worse crash cut another tenth from our Sep-22 GDP forecast to -0.4% m-o-m but leaves Q3 at -0.5% q-o-q in our below-consensus call. October should rebound more.
  • Housing market pains may be the next blow to consumers after surging inflation and rates, as its sharp slowdown looks like a stalling that could easily roll into a crash.

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