Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: UK: Funeral for Recovery and more

In today’s briefing:

  • UK: Funeral for Recovery
  • CX Daily: The Roots of China’s Trouble Protecting Plant Variety Rights

UK: Funeral for Recovery

By Phil Rush

  • UK GDP crashed by 0.6% m-o-m in Sep-22 as the country shut for the Queen’s funeral. Revisions reversed previous disappointment to return Q3’s fall to 0.2% q-o-q.
  • Surveys suggest activity trends have fallen into recession. We forecast further falls in Q4 and 2023, despite UK output failing to recover its pre-covid levels.
  • The UK looks likely to underperform its peers as shocks like high rates bind more fiercely. We still see policy rates peaking below market pricing before cuts in 2024.

CX Daily: The Roots of China’s Trouble Protecting Plant Variety Rights

By Caixin Global

  • In Depth: The roots of China’s trouble protecting plant variety rights

  • Guangzhou suspends most schools as Covid-19 outbreak worsens

  • China to expand digital health code use for unified national platform


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