Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: The Great Game – Geopolitical Overview Q2 2023 and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The Great Game – Geopolitical Overview Q2 2023
  • Back to the Future: ‘US Unemployment Hits 7% in January 2025’
  • CX Daily: Five Things to Know About Early Mortgage Repayments in China

The Great Game – Geopolitical Overview Q2 2023

By Mikkel Rosenvold

  • If we learned anything from 2022, it’s that you need to keep your eye on geopolitics as an investor.
  • Gone are the days of American hegemony – now, great power rivalry is back
  • We give our assessment of key geopolitical situations that investors need to be on top of in Q2 2023

Back to the Future: ‘US Unemployment Hits 7% in January 2025’

By Jeroen Blokland

  • The US labor is finally succumbing to the biggest and fastest Federal Reserve tightening cycle since the early 1980s.
  • The historical relationship between Fed tightening cycles and the US unemployment rate is strong.  On average, US unemployment started rising six months after the last Fed hike.
  • It took nearly two years after the last Fed rate hike before the peak was in, with unemployment increasing by 3.5 percentage points. The big exception: 1994-1995!

CX Daily: Five Things to Know About Early Mortgage Repayments in China

By Caixin Global

  • Mortgage /: Five things to know about early mortgage repayments in China
  • Sandstorm /: China hit by yet another sandstorm as capital chokes in dust cloud
  • Brokerages /: Bear market saps Chinese brokerages’ 2022 earnings

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars