Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Strong Labour Market Challenges Fed and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Strong Labour Market Challenges Fed, as Risk Capital Outlook Rests on Rapid Inflation Decline

Strong Labour Market Challenges Fed, as Risk Capital Outlook Rests on Rapid Inflation Decline

By Said Desaque

  • The strong Employment Situation report for July has raised the ante on the Fed not to pivot to a more dovish stance in the near future.
  • The current size of the 10-year minus 2-year US Treasury note yield differential has historically been consistent with the pending onset of recession. 
  • Sticky inflation could prevent the speedy return of risk capital to US financial markets by preventing the Fed from adopting more dovish policy settings. 

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