Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Relax and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Relax, It’s Just A Mid-Cycle Expansion


Relax, It’s Just A Mid-Cycle Expansion

By Cam Hui

  • The U.S. economy is undergoing a mid-cycle expansion, which is characterized by a combination of fundamental and technical momentum.
  • As long as the economy stays resilient, earnings estimates rise and inflation doesn’t accelerate, stock prices can advance without rate cuts.
  • The key tail-risk to the benign scenario is a disorderly Asian competitive currency devaluation that sinks emerging markets and sparks a risk-off response.

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