In today’s briefing:
- Pretexts, My Dear Boy, Pretexts
- Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD

Pretexts, My Dear Boy, Pretexts
- The financial shock and greater uncertainty, all else equal, imply a disinflationary backdrop
- The current trade posture alone implies either a one-off or a more persistent inflationary environment
- But comprehending the shocks might not be the real challenge, rather it is about unraveling what is harnessed as a pretext and what is not
Overview #23 Gold, Bonds and the USD
- A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
- Gold is now considered the most crowded trade. Should we be worried?
- Who is going to buy US government bonds going forward?