Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Major Global Liquidity Warning – Don’t Fight the Feds and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Major Global Liquidity Warning – Don’t Fight the Feds
  • Sentiment Strengthens, While Fundamentals Fade

Major Global Liquidity Warning – Don’t Fight the Feds

By Michael J. Howell

  • A major bull market in Global Liquidity has started. Be prepared the cycle is rising and looks set to expand towards a new top sometime around 2026.
  • A sharp uptick in the pace of liquidity injections into World financial markets occurred around October of last year in the wake of the British gilt crisis
  • China’s PBoC also began a major easing policy coinciding with the end of COVID-lockdowns. China matters hugely to the World economy because of her whopping size.

Sentiment Strengthens, While Fundamentals Fade

By Jeroen Blokland

  • We have to go back to 1980 to find a month when small US businesses thought it was an even worse time to expand.
  • Volatility is falling off a cliff as investors embrace a new kind of goldilocks. 
  • A common denominator drives Bitcoin and Gold higher: their perceived value as insurance against adverse market circumstances.

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