In today’s briefing:
- Is Global Liquidity Already Threated By America’s Upcoming Debt Ceiling?
- Optimizing Portfolio Performance and Mitigating Risk with Economic Scenario Generators
Is Global Liquidity Already Threated By America’s Upcoming Debt Ceiling?
- Latest weekly Global Liquidity data reveal a sharp hiccup caused by tax payments in the US and repo timing issues in China
- This does not foretell of any future serious disruption to our expectations for easier liquidity conditions later this year and next
- The jump in America’s TGA at the Fed signals weak tax revenues and warns that the debt-ceiling may be hit sooner, possibly by June/ July
Optimizing Portfolio Performance and Mitigating Risk with Economic Scenario Generators
- Economic Scenario Generators (ESGs) are computational tools that generate plausible future economic scenarios, aiding risk management, asset valuation, and investment decision-making.
- ESGs differ from Monte Carlo simulations in focus, inputs, complexity, and output, and are specifically designed for economic scenario analysis.
- Many investor types, including pension funds, life insurance companies, family offices, asset managers, and sovereign wealth funds, can benefit from using ESGs to optimize portfolio performance and mitigate risk.
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