Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: India: De-Leveraged and more

In today’s briefing:

  • India: De-Leveraged, and Hence Set on a Path of Investment-Led Growth
  • CX Daily: The Weak Link in China’s New-Energy Power Plan: Weather

India: De-Leveraged, and Hence Set on a Path of Investment-Led Growth

By Prasenjit K. Basu

  • Amid a global deceleration, India’s real GDP grew 13.5%YoY in Apr-Jun’22, led by GFCF(+20%YoY) and PCE(+26%YoY). Actual growth was under-estimated because of errors in deflators for GDP and net exports. 
  • Nominal GDP growth of 26.7%YoY enabled corporate tax revenue to rise 35%YoY and income taxes 50%YoY, bringing the 12mma of the fiscal deficit down to 6.1% of GDP. 
  • As the government’s market borrowing declines, it will crowd-in more private investment, enabling real GDP to grow 8% in FY23 despite the global slowdown. Stay Overweight. 

CX Daily: The Weak Link in China’s New-Energy Power Plan: Weather

By Caixin Global

  • In Depth: The weak link in China’s new-energy power plan: weather

  • Debate rages after residents barred from earthquake evacuation due to Covid curbs

  • Xi tells nation to mobilize for ‘core technology’ breakthrough


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