Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: EA: HICP Limbos Under Jan-23 Forecasts and more

In today’s briefing:

  • EA: HICP Limbos Under Jan-23 Forecasts
  • CX Daily: Where Do Fake Covid Drugs Come From?

EA: HICP Limbos Under Jan-23 Forecasts

By Phil Rush

  • Flash EA inflation plummeted by 74bp in Jan-23 to 8.46% y-o-y. That was 20bps below our forecast, which was already about 0.4pp under the consensus.
  • Germany’s postponed release left Eurostat to estimate an even lower outcome than we assumed. An update 0.6pp less weak next week would prompt an 18bp EA revision.
  • The headline’s roll into a downward trend has also shifted surprises. Still, it has not dented the hawkish underlying pressures pushing further ECB rate hikes.

CX Daily: Where Do Fake Covid Drugs Come From?

By Caixin Global

  • Drugs / In Depth: Where do fake Covid drugs come from?

  • Debt / Local Chinese governments paid $148 billion in interest in 2022

  • Economy / IMF raises China’s 2023 growth forecast to 5.2% as economy reopens


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