Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: China Property And The Demand For Commodities Puzzle and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China Property And The Demand For Commodities Puzzle
  • Saudi Arabia Special Report: A Tipping Point in EM Equity Allocations
  • Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds


China Property And The Demand For Commodities Puzzle

By Robert Ciemniak

  • China’s crude steel production data behaved differently in the 2021-2023 downturn relative to new home sales and new starts, compared to the prior cycles.
  • The 40% drop (12M vs prior 12M) at the low point for new starts compares with around 10% for the crude steel.
  • In this note, we outline a few possible explanations, with some twists.

Saudi Arabia Special Report: A Tipping Point in EM Equity Allocations

By Steven Holden

  • 2023 Marks a Pivotal Year with EM Investors Significantly Increasing Holdings in the Saudi Market.
  • Despite Growing Interest, the Saudi Market Still Presents Ample Room for Broader Investor Engagement.
  • Saudi Arabia Remains Comparatively ‘under-Owned’ in Relation to Its Asian and LATAM Peers.

Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

By Steven Holden

  • The Magnificent 7, comprising Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, NVIDIA and Tesla  hit record high allocations among active Global equity funds this year.
  • Thought of as a standalone allocation, they represent the 2nd largest country weight, but also stand as a sizeable underweight versus the benchmark.
  • Microsoft’s dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from active Global investors.

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