Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Breaking Point? The Impending Credit Crunch in America and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Breaking Point? The Impending Credit Crunch in America
  • CX Daily: Where Are Chinese Consumers Willing to Spend?
  • TPW Advisory Friday Musings: Where There’s Smoke There’s Fire


Breaking Point? The Impending Credit Crunch in America

By Jeroen Blokland

  • We anticipate that the US economy is either heading for or already in a credit crunch, which will worsen with an additional rate hike from the Federal Reserve.
  • Very tight lending standards suggest that the decline in loan growth will accelerate in the coming months and quarters.
  • The upcoming credit crunch will be accompanied by a new default cycle. Yet, high yield bond spreads refuse to reflect even the slightest possibility of this scenario.

CX Daily: Where Are Chinese Consumers Willing to Spend?

By Caixin Global

  • Consumption /In Depth: Where are Chinese consumers willing to spend?
  • AI /: China puts drafting AI law on national legislative agenda
  • Counterterrorism /: China, Pakistan and Iran hold first trilateral counterterrorism meeting

TPW Advisory Friday Musings: Where There’s Smoke There’s Fire

By TPW Advisory

  • Given how apocalyptic the NYC skyline looked Wednesday morning it seemed only fitting to use the title above in my comments on BTV’s The Open show later that morning. 
  • However, I wasn’t referring solely to the Canadian forest fires burning well north of us and the resulting smoke over NYC which was something I had only witnessed in Delhi or Beijing.
  • Thankfully, the smoke has cleared out of NYC joined perhaps by our famed Curtain of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty & Doubt).

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