Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Bear Market Rally or Turning Point? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Bear Market Rally or Turning Point?
  • CX Daily: China’s Primary Health Care On The Front Line Against Covid
  • ECB: Hiking With No Clothes
  • Temasek Focuses on China’s Micro-Level Growth Trends, Head of China Says

Bear Market Rally or Turning Point?

By The Macro Compass

  • In an interview released last month, legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller reminded everybody how bear market rallies can be a challenging experience for people comfortably sitting on the short side.
  • Due to their fast and furious nature, they seem to be somehow designed to mine the confidence of the short side.
  • ‘‘What if I am wrong on the big picture macro thesis?’’ ’’What if I find myself big times under-allocated in equities and we keep rallying?’’

CX Daily: China’s Primary Health Care On The Front Line Against Covid

By Caixin Global

  • In Depth: China’s primary health care on the front line against Covid

  • Exclusive: U.K. bank seeks investors for stalled Chinese-backed London development

  • Chinese vice premier urges regions not to let up in fight with Covid


ECB: Hiking With No Clothes

By Phil Rush

  • The ECB followed through on recent source reports and frontloaded its 50bps rate hike into July. More steps are ahead but are likely to be data-dependent 25bps ones.
  • Abrupt tightening requires a credible policy to manage fragmentation pressures, which a new transmission protection instrument (TPI) is intended to provide.
  • Purchases under TPI are a conditional insurance policy that requires future agreement to trigger, so it is unlikely to prevent excess recessionary pressures from building.

Temasek Focuses on China’s Micro-Level Growth Trends, Head of China Says

By Caixin Global

  • A long-term investor in China assets, Temasek International Pte. Ltd. tends to look beyond GDP figures and find opportunities on the micro-level
  • The Singaporean state-owned company mainly invests in four areas in China — digitalization, sustainability, life sciences and new consumption — representing at least half of China’s GDP
  • Temasek’s investment decisions are based on trends that help industries transform and grow

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