Daily BriefsMacro

Daily Brief Macro: Aussie and Kiwi: A Tale of Two Countries and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Aussie and Kiwi: A Tale of Two Countries
  • Overview #8 Plus Ca Change…
  • Fed Jackson Hole Guidance


Aussie and Kiwi: A Tale of Two Countries

By Alex Ng

  • We will look into the “well-known “correlation among the Aussie and well-known benchmarks to give  a closer look towards factors that have been affecting the movement of the Australian Dollar.
  • We will look into the performance of the Aussie relative to the Kiwi. The Aussie and Kiwi are viewed to be closely correlated given their geographic proximity and trade partnerships.
  • They are also being categorized as commodity currencies, with their dependence in commodity export.

Overview #8 Plus Ca Change…

By Rikki Malik

  • A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
  • The Nasdaq, China and the JPY walk into a bar.
  • The world’s biggest uranium miner cuts its 2025 production guidance

Fed Jackson Hole Guidance

By Alex Ng

  • Fed Powell clearly signaled a Sep 18 FOMC rate cut, but his analysis on the economy is softer than harder landing.
  • Though the option of 50bps was not ruled out, the comments from Powell and other Fed officials are more consistent with 25bps than 50bps. 
  • Nevertheless, the Fed is now more focused on the labor market, which suggests we think will be improving even with mere 25bps cut this year.

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