In today’s briefing:
- An Accretion of Big Power Tensions in Asia
- Global Output Dip Deepening
An Accretion of Big Power Tensions in Asia
- A slow drip-drip of developments is increasing tensions among the big powers in Asia.
- Relations between China on one side and the US, Europe, Japan, India and South Korea are worsening.
- That keeps the tinder dry on the ground and raises risk of escalating frictions.
Global Output Dip Deepening
- Global manufacturing’s down-trend continued in August to a decline, especially in the UK, where the output index crashed by another 6.5 points to 42.4.
- The shock is less advanced for services, with more dispersion, but many countries suffer declines. The US experience is especially severe amid aggressive tightening.
- Unemployment has ceased declining, but the deteriorating demand environment should cause it to turn for the worse soon as the global cycle rolls towards recession.
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