In today’s briefing:
- T&K TOKA (4636 JP): Imminent TOB Launch? Imminent Bump Needed?
- Investors Will Again Demand Concrete Measures to Raise ROE and Boost Shareholder Returns in FY3/2025
- Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Prosus/Tencent, Hollysys, Tata Consultancy, Geely, EOFlow
- Weekly Deals Digest (26 Nov) – JSR, Taisho, Origin, OreCorp, Eoflow, Hollysys, Zeekr, Tata Tech
T&K TOKA (4636 JP): Imminent TOB Launch? Imminent Bump Needed?
- In August, T&K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP) announced a TOB by Bain with a clearance hurdle of selling a 3.51% stake in Hangzhou Toka Ink (SH:688571) before launch.
- Friday, the company announced that they put up a 3.6% stake for auction, with the sale to be executed that day. That likely triggers an early launch of the TOB.
- The TOB Price is offensively cheap at 0.63x “official” book, and 0.53x book adjusted for equity affiliate price. The shares have traded through terms since launch. This should get bumped.
Investors Will Again Demand Concrete Measures to Raise ROE and Boost Shareholder Returns in FY3/2025
- The carryback of pension obligations and expenses resulting from higher bond yields is a factor in the increase in operating profit.
- While this’ll lead to higher EPS, which should lead to higher dividends and more room for stock price appreciation, there’s concern that inflating the B/S will lead to stagnant ROE.
- In addition, since FY3/2024 profits will be boosted by pension financing factors unrelated to the core business, lower profit growth rate in FY3/2025 will put pressure on the stock price.
Last Week in Event SPACE: JSR, Prosus/Tencent, Hollysys, Tata Consultancy, Geely, EOFlow
- Now the time decay to expected approvals and tender offer start for JSR Corp (4185 JP) are getting steep. Time to Fight The FUD.
- The accretion trade is going to plan as Prosus NV (PRX NA) sells Tencent (700 HK); and Prosus and Tencent both back their own shares.
- Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)‘s board capacity to sabotage calling an SGM has finally run out of puff.
Weekly Deals Digest (26 Nov) – JSR, Taisho, Origin, OreCorp, Eoflow, Hollysys, Zeekr, Tata Tech
- A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
- ECM developments – Asahi Group Holdings (2502 JP)‘s US$1.3 billion secondary offering; ZEEKR (ZK US), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN) and Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK) IPOs
- Event-Driven developments – JSR Corp (4185 JP), Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP), Origin Energy (ORG AU), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), Eoflow (294090 KS), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).