Daily BriefsJapan

Daily Brief Japan: MS&AD Insurance, Takashimaya, Seven & I Holdings, Rigaku Holdings, Money Forward and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” Details (Oct24)
  • Takashimaya (8233 JP) Decent Earnings, BIG Buyback (Odd Register Dynamics)
  • How Seven Eleven and Other Conbinis Are Sitting on a Retail Media Goldmine
  • Rigaku IPO: Forecasts and Valuation
  • Money Forward (3994) | Q3 Priced In; Look for Pull-Back


Japan CorpGovReport Details: TSE “Mgmt Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” Details (Oct24)

By Travis Lundy

  • TSE-Listed companies are asked to file “Management Conscious of Capital Cost/Stock Price” awareness reports/policies. Many have. Some are still working on it. And policies change, and CGR reports are updated.
  • Our tools show every report, links to every document, and now a new diff file tool. input a name, see the difference between the Old/New Reports. We hope it helps.
  • This tool is designed to be a shelf reference. We update it once a month, and every CorpGovReport and new “Management Conscious” report updated since a CGR update is here.

Takashimaya (8233 JP) Decent Earnings, BIG Buyback (Odd Register Dynamics)

By Travis Lundy

  • Today, Takashimaya (8233 JP) reported Q2 earnings, a dividend hike, upward revisions to the FY26 MTMP, and a decent-sized buyback to raise leverage levels and ROE.
  • The company is yen-sensitive both in overseas retail and domestic department stores on inbound traffic. One could imagine future issues. 
  • The register looks like it is quite open. It is not. That is worth considering now and in future.

How Seven Eleven and Other Conbinis Are Sitting on a Retail Media Goldmine

By Michael Causton

  • Just as they did before, Japanese convenience stores are taking a US idea and making it Japanese, in this case retail media, which looks set to be huge in Japan.
  • Seven & I believes it will be a ¥3 trillion business and Familymart, which is leading in this new profit machine, expects ¥5 billion in media income in 3 years.
  • The options for highly personalised targeting and behavioural analysis will transform brand advertising and marketing – but even more the bottom line of convenience stores.

Rigaku IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) has opened its books for the IPO, and the IPO will raise $753m purely through the sale of shares by the existing shareholders.
  • Unlike its competitors, Rigaku has a very specialized product portfolio that is entirely focused on X-ray technology which makes the company unique among its competitors. 
  • Our analysis reveals that Rigaku’s IPO is attractively priced compared to its competitors and there is more than 15-20% upside to the indicative IPO price range.

Money Forward (3994) | Q3 Priced In; Look for Pull-Back

By Mark Chadwick

  • In Q3, Money Forward demonstrated continued strong performance, with consolidated net sales posting 31% growth year-on-year to ¥9.81 billion
  • EBITDA for the cumulative nine months stands at ¥1.48 billion, comfortably within the company’s full year guidance range of ¥1-3 billion.
  • We now see a very modest 2% upside to our target price of ¥6,440, based on an 8x forward revenue multiple. 

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