Daily BriefsJapan

Daily Brief Japan: MatsukiyoCocokara, Japan Tobacco, Morinaga Milk Industry Co, Rakuten Bank, Tokyo Stock Exchange Tokyo Price Index Topix and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The MatsuKiyoCocokara (3088) February Flow Show
  • Japan Tobacco: An Activist Targeting Torii Pharmaceutical, Turns to JT to Fulfil Their Wishes
  • Morinaga Milk (2264 JP)’s Overseas Expansion
  • Rakuten Bank IPO Early Look – The Positives – Has Grown Fast over the past Few Years
  • Comparability of Disclosures Between Companies Will Enhance Content of Sustainability Information

The MatsuKiyoCocokara (3088) February Flow Show

By Travis Lundy

  • MatsukiyoCocokara (3088 JP) has run up quite well in the past year, rising strongly and outperforming Peers significantly. It has been the avatar of Inbound Rebound hopes and dreams.
  • Over that time, forward EPS expectations have also improved, but not as much as price. MatsukiyoCocokara used to be cheap to peers on forward PER. Now it is not.
  • 28 Feb sees an MSCI inclusion trade to swing 7% of shares from active to passive. Understanding where those come from is key.

Japan Tobacco: An Activist Targeting Torii Pharmaceutical, Turns to JT to Fulfil Their Wishes

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Japan Tobacco (2914 JP)’s 4Q22 results were stronger than anticipated yet again with revenue and OP surpassing consensus by 4.3% and 35.2% respectively through selling price increments.
  • 2023 guidance looks a bit disappointing, with the company guiding adjusted OP at ¥667bn in 2023 compared to ¥729bn in the previous year, expecting an unfavourable foreign exchange movement.
  • But the highlight these days was the proposal by the activist investor LIM Advisors to dispose JT’s share ownership in Torii Pharmaceutical (4551 JP).

Morinaga Milk (2264 JP)’s Overseas Expansion

By David Blennerhassett

  • Last week, Japanese dairy play Morinaga Milk Industry Co (2264 JP) acquired a soy-based food company in the US and a baby formula distribution company in Vietnam
  • These acquisitions are in keeping with Moringa’s medium-term business plan (to Mar-2025) to achieve an overseas sale ratio of 13%, compared to 8.7% last year.
  • 3Q23 results were also announced with 9M23 sales and operating profit of ¥405.2bn and ¥20.5bn, a change of +16.8% and -7.2% yoy.

Rakuten Bank IPO Early Look – The Positives – Has Grown Fast over the past Few Years

By Sumeet Singh

  • Rakuten Bank, the online banking arm of Rakuten Inc (4755 JP), aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing in April 2023. 
  • RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Mar 2023, it had 13.39m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.6tn. 
  • In this note we take an early look at the IPO and talk about the positive aspects of its past performance.

Comparability of Disclosures Between Companies Will Enhance Content of Sustainability Information

By Aki Matsumoto

  • Since the revised Corporate Governance Code in 2021 requires TCFD disclosure for prime market listed companies, TCFD disclosure is expected to expand to all prime listed market companies going forward.
  • Most companies do not have a roadmap for meeting their emissions targets, and there is a need to look carefully at whether their numerical targets and timelines are reasonable.
  • Until now, companies that preceded TCFD disclosures have mainly disclosed information in integrated reports. However, attention will focus on how these information will be disclosed in the Annual Securities Report.

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