In today’s briefing:
- Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms
- Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers
- Rigaku IPO – The Negatives – Not Every Segment Has Been Performing; Has a Large Overhang as Well
- Japanese Bigger Cap Banks – BoJ’s Pause Does Not De-Rail Our Expectations for Higher Interest Rates
Fuji Soft (9749) – Possible Issues with New KKR Amended Terms
- On 8 August, KKR and Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) announced a Tender Offer for the company. It was, at the time, an intention to do so. KKR needed approvals.
- Fuji Soft had KKR terms, and timing, and approved them. KKR then changed the terms and timing. Now on the 19th, they changed the terms again.
- This puts Fuji Soft in a kind of quandary. It’s important to think about why and what that leads to.
Fuji Soft (9749 JP): KKR on the Home Stretch as Bain Dithers
- The Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP) Board has recommended KKR’s first tender offer (JPY8,800). The Board will announce its view on the second tender offer on launch.
- The Board sounded out Bain’s progress on a binding proposal and 3D and Farallon’s on their irrevocable. The absence of a Bain binding proposal immensely helped the Board’s decision.
- Bain has likely left it too late. With a higher offer, Bain could force a recommendation change and hope KKR is shamed into cancelling 3D and Farallon’s irrevocable.
Rigaku IPO – The Negatives – Not Every Segment Has Been Performing; Has a Large Overhang as Well
- Rigaku Holdings (268A JP) is looking to raise US$762m in its Japan IPO.
- Rigaku engages in developing, manufacturing, sales and servicing scientific instruments specializing in X-ray technologies.
- In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.
Japanese Bigger Cap Banks – BoJ’s Pause Does Not De-Rail Our Expectations for Higher Interest Rates
- JGB 10Y bond yields have slipped from their July high, but are well above historic lows; the outlook, in our view, is still for BoJ monetary tightening before year-end 2024
- We see a constructive outlook with recovering domestic loan growth, available funding as well as sector evidence of higher lending rates; also, largely well controlled unrealized losses on bond portfolios
- We keep Resona and Mizuho as our top picks for their strong gearing to higher interest rates and attractive valuations in this Japanese bank group, along with Chiba and Concordia