In today’s briefing:
- Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics
- Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows
- Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight
- Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry
- Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
- JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024
- Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade
Korean FSC’s Official Disclosure of New Treasury Share Regulations & Potential Trading Dynamics
- Today, the Financial Services Commission of Korea announced treasury stock rule improvements: (1) No new share allocation to treasury shares during equity spinoffs. (2) Strengthened disclosure requirements.
- No mandatory cancellation may disappoint the market. Nevertheless, the decision not to issue new shares during equity spinoffs amplifies the volume targeted during subsequent tender offers, potentially intensifying price impacts.
- Also, enhanced disclosure for treasury stocks, especially for companies with over 10% holdings, may trigger significant trading events based on pre-information about holdings and disposals.
Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Mar 24: Potential DEL and AUM Assumption Change to Trigger Index Flows
- In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity’s flow expectations for the March 2024 index rebal event.
- Based on current data, I expect there to be one DEL for the TDIV index in March. I also expect the AUM assumption to change.
- According to my calculations, these changes could collectively trigger index flows of ~US$150mn one-way resulting in some index members expected to have multiple days of volume to trade.
Samsung SDI (006400): No Catalyst in Sight
- The de facto beneficiary of the EU EV subsidy, and historically, 46% of the sales were generated from Audi and BMW EVs.
- Valuation has hit the trough, but with no positive catalyst in sight, it is difficult to make a bull case for Samsung SDI (006400 KS) .
- If the EU put up higher trade tariff for Chinese EV, it could jolt up SDI’s share price but until then, stay away.
Boeing Exposure and Q4 Trends Impacting the Airline Industry
- Now that the U.S Big 4 airlines have all reported their earnings, let’s look at some of the key trends underpinning the airline industry this quarter.
- The industry continues to be marred by several macro trends, including a triple whammy of inflation-driven increasing maintenance and labor costs, supply chain issues, and the unreliability of a major supplier (Boeing).
- Boeing’s perennial woes seemed to be a major point of discussion as every Big 4 airline faced an analyst question about it during their earnings calls.
Ftai Aviation Ltd (FTAI) – Tuesday, Oct 31, 2023
Key points (machine generated)
- FTAI’s Module Swap offering is expected to have strong growth potential based on the company’s performance and market conditions.
- The number of Module Swap customers is projected to increase from 25 in 2022 to potentially 75-100 by 2025.
- The average number of Module Swap orders per customer is expected to increase from 2 in 2022 to potentially 3 in 2023.
This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
JetBlue – Profitability Distant but Scope for Recovery Prospects to Become Clearer Through 2024
- Following JetBlue’s 2023 results, we refresh estimates to reflect a small operating loss and a near-$200m net loss in 2024.
- Management is focused on cutting costs and restructuring the network, but without meaningful self-help, losses and cash burn may continue in 2025.
- Liquidity and leverage concerns are significant for JetBlue but we highlight reduced capacity could boost commercial performance as early as 2Q, providing a glimpse of distant recovery prospects.
Epwin Group – Solid H223 leads to useful earnings upgrade
Epwin Group’s H223 trading was robust and management has navigated inflationary pressures well. As a result we have increased our FY23 and FY24 underlying operating profit estimates by 13.6% and 10.3%, respectively. Longer term, well-established growth trends imply that Epwin is well placed to leverage off increasing demand for its energy-efficient and low-maintenance building products. Management action contributed to overall margin expansion, a feature that we expect to continue in FY24. Epwin offers an attractive investment case with the potential for uplifts from additional self-funded M&A. It trades on a P/E ratio of 7.4x, some 30% below the long-term average of 10.7x, and yields 6%.