In today’s briefing:
- Keisei Electric Rail (9009) – A BUYBACK! But It’s Likely To Be Crossholders Selling in ToSTNeT-3
- Aussie Broadband’s Non-Binding Indicative Offer for Superloop
- Airbus Se (EADSY) – Sunday, Nov 26, 2023
- Guidance and scheme of arrangement on track
- Millennium Services Group Ltd – Guidance and Scheme of Arrangement on Track
Keisei Electric Rail (9009) – A BUYBACK! But It’s Likely To Be Crossholders Selling in ToSTNeT-3
- Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) has long been the target of activist-ish-y holders who seek to have the company monetise its 20+% stake in Oriental Land (4661 JP).
- Last autumn (17-Oct-2023), Keisei was the subject of a presentation by activist-ish-y fund Palliser Capital who called the stock 43% undervalued. They want Keisei to sell some OLC shares.
- Palliser wanted Keisei to use resulting monies for growth capex+shareholder return, improve IR/governance, shrink board, adopt KPIs, etc. Thursday we got an announcement of a 2.9% stock buyback.
Aussie Broadband’s Non-Binding Indicative Offer for Superloop
- Right on the heels of acquiring Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), Aussie Broadband (ABB AU) has made a non-binding indicative offer to take Superloop (SLC AU) private.
- Superloop (SLC AU) had initiated the proposal to take Symbio Holdings (SYM AU) private before Aussie Broadband (ABB AU) swooped in. Now ABB has SLC in its sights.
- The offer is a small premium and Aussie Broadband Pty Ltd (ABB AU)‘s 33.2% premium claim is disingenuous at best. Expect pushback from the Superloop Ltd (SLC AU) Board.
Airbus Se (EADSY) – Sunday, Nov 26, 2023
Key points
- Honeywell CEO optimistic about strong performance of long-cycle Aero business, particularly aero cycle
- Predicts double-digit growth in 2024 and sustained high growth rates until 2030
- Airbus experiencing strong orders and growing backlog, production challenges in matching supply with demand indicate tight aircraft market
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Guidance and scheme of arrangement on track
- Human services company Millennium Services Group Ltd (ASX:MIL) has released its H1 FY24 interim result, with both revenue (pre-disclosed) and EBITDA in line with RaaS estimates.
- Adjusted H1 FY24 EBITDA increased ~100% on the back of 15% revenue growth, a 20bps increase in gross margin and a well-controlled cost base.
- Management has reiterated both revenue and EBITDA guidance for FY24 which are reflected in current RaaS estimates.
Millennium Services Group Ltd – Guidance and Scheme of Arrangement on Track
- Human services company Millennium Services Group Ltd (ASX:MIL) has released its H1 FY24 interim result, with both revenue (pre-disclosed) and EBITDA in line with RaaS estimates.
- Adjusted H1 FY24 EBITDA increased ~100% on the back of 15% revenue growth, a 20bps increase in gross margin and a well-controlled cost base.
- Management has reiterated both revenue and EBITDA guidance for FY24 which are reflected in current RaaS estimates.