In today’s briefing:
- Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024): BIG Net Sells, Again, Before National Team Buys
- CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June
- Medi Assist Healthcare IPO Trading – Decent Subscription Rates Although Valuation Appears Fair
- Lonking (3339 HK): A Yield Play?
Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024): BIG Net Sells, Again, Before National Team Buys
- The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
- Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity. Big net selling on Weds. National Team stepped in Thurs. NORTHBOUND stepped in to sell Friday.
- Renewables were a bit more mixed this week but still a net sell by NORTHBOUND. It is not clear what stops persistent net selling.
CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June
- With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
- We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
- There have been big ETF inflows to the CSI 300 Index trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.
Medi Assist Healthcare IPO Trading – Decent Subscription Rates Although Valuation Appears Fair
- Medi Assist Healthcare Services (0886371D IN) raised around US$140m in its India IPO.
- Medi Assist Healthcare Services (Medi Assist) provides third party administration services to insurance companies via its subsidiaries.
- We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.
Lonking (3339 HK): A Yield Play?
- While the 2H23 result of Lonking Holdings (3339 HK) may disappoint due to a plunge in sales volume, it is a yield play given the high historical payout ratio.
- Assuming a DPS of HK$0.10 for FY23-25 as in FY22, yielding 8.3%, the total dividend will amount to Rmb1.2bn. This only equals 22% of its net cash (including short-term investments).
- Its controlling shareholders bought 7.3m shares since 27 Dec, raising the stake by 0.13pp to 56.2%, demonstrating their positive view on the share’s value and long-term outlook.