Daily BriefsIndustrials

Daily Brief Industrials: CALB, ZTO Express Cayman Inc and more

In today’s briefing:

  • CALB IPO: The Bull Case
  • ZTO Express (2057 HK/​ZTO US): Quality Speaks for Itself

CALB IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • CALB (CALBLZ CH), a leading EV battery manufacturer, is seeking to raise US$2.0 billion through an HKEx IPO, according to press reports.
  • According to Frost & Sullivan, in terms of installed capacity in 2021, CALB ranked seventh globally among EV battery companies with a 3.2% market share.
  • The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing market, rising market share, explosive top-line growth and ambitious capacity expansion plans.

ZTO Express (2057 HK/​ZTO US): Quality Speaks for Itself

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The Aug China Express Development Index points to further industry recovery; and as the leader with 23% (+2pp YoY) market share, ZTO Express (2057 HK) should ride on the uptrend. 
  • Sustained volume outperformance, upside on pricing and excellent cost control capability are drivers in 2H22. We are also comfortable with its solid financial position. 
  • ZTO Express has above-average earnings quality and enjoys benefits from industry consolidation. Its on par valuation with the industry makes the stock appealing.

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