In today’s briefing:
- AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Industrial Chameleon
- Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units
- Citic Resource Holdings (1205.HK) – A Play on Oil and Coal Demand
- Gdi Integrated Facility Svcs (GDI.) – Thursday, Jan 4, 2024
- Gibraltar Industries: Investment in Digital Transformation
- Ganz-Mavag/Talgo: Request for Offer Authorisation
AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) – Industrial Chameleon
- AKR Corporindo (AKRA IJ) booked an impressive finish to the year despite slower revenue growth from its trading & distribution business boosted by strong industrial plot sales at JIIPE.
- The company expects trading & industrial volumes to improve in 2024, with retail petroleum becoming more significant with JIIPE expected to see increasing recurrent utilities earnings starting in 2H2024.
- AKR Corporindo has a strong pipeline of potential tenants for JIIPE and expects to expand its BP JV retail petrol stations by 40-50 this year. Valuations remain attractive.
Hanwha Aerospace: Spin Off of Semiconductor Equipment and Video Surveillance Units
- On 5 April, Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) formally announced that it will spin off its semiconductor equipment and video surveillance units which contributed to about 16% of its revenue.
- We are Negative on Hanwha Aerospace mainly due to valuations. Its share price has risen so much in the past year that its valuations are no longer attractive.
- Hanwha Aerospace is trading at premium valuation to Lockheed Martin on an EV/EBITDA basis. Despite its recent strong growth, Hanwha Aerospace is no Lockheed Martin.
Citic Resource Holdings (1205.HK) – A Play on Oil and Coal Demand
- One of a basket of Hong Kong commodity stocks we like
- One off issues in 2023 which should reverse in 2024
- Can also be viewed as a tangential play on India’s industrial growth
Gdi Integrated Facility Svcs (GDI.) – Thursday, Jan 4, 2024
- Fragmented industry with growth opportunities
- Successful acquisitions and expansion
- Focus on customer service and reputation for excellence
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Gibraltar Industries: Investment in Digital Transformation
- Gibraltar Industries’ Q4 2023 financial results presented a robust year-end performance.
- The company’s leadership positions were expanded, the quality of earnings improved, and strong cash flows were generated.
- Both Residential and Infrastructure perform strongly, and although the Renewable segment faced industry headwinds, it demonstrated excellent margin expansion.
Ganz-Mavag/Talgo: Request for Offer Authorisation
- Ganz Mavag, a public/private consortium, requests authorisation for its €5/share offer for 100% of Talgo SA (TLGO SM). It needs approvals from Spain and seven other EMEA regulators.
- Yesterday’s close remains similar to the announcement date (7 March), gross spread of 11.3%, indicating uncertainty regarding timeline and development. The market is pricing a 48% probability of deal completion.
- The Spanish Government will delay the authorization process. Vs. comparables and considering uncertainties regarding backlog execution, investing in the company seems somewhat risky. The risk/reward ratio is not particularly attractive.