Daily BriefsIndonesia

Daily Brief Indonesia: Ultrajaya Milk, Bank Negara Indonesia Persero and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) – The Milkmaid Cometh
  • BBNI IJ Initiation: On a Rewarding Journey to 20% ROE


Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) – The Milkmaid Cometh

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Ultrajaya Milk (ULTJ IJ) is back to the boil in terms of sales growth for both its dairy and carton tea businesses, which both benefit from a nominalisation of mobility. 
  • The company’s margins have improved in the dairy business as cost pressure has abated with falling powdered milk prices. Competition has picked up but the overall market is growing sufficiently. 
  • Ultrajaya Milk will open a new distribution centre in 1Q2024, which should help to drive growth plus it looks to launch new product categories in 2024. Valuations are attractive.

BBNI IJ Initiation: On a Rewarding Journey to 20% ROE

By Raj Saya, CA, CFA

  • Bank Negara Indonesia Persero (BBNI IJ) has stated its target of achieving an FY28e ROE of 20%, with ambition to join the other three big Indonesian Banks already doing it. 
  • Although the current results are not on par with the other three, the bank has outlined its strategy to reach the target (1% credit cost; 37% CIR by 2028 exit)
  • Projecting a gradual re-rating to align with peers by 2028 and extrapolating book value growth over the 5-year period provides a shareholder return of 30% CAGR

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