In today’s briefing:
- NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run
- NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change in March
- State Bank of India (SBIN) – 3Q24 Update: Short-Term Pressure Is an Opportunity to Accumulate
- Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, Guangzhou R&F Properties, UPL Ltd
NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Run
- With the review period for the March rebalance complete, there could be 6 potential changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) using the current index methodology.
- Estimated one-way turnover is 13.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 28.6bn. Four inclusions will have over 1x ADV to buy; five deletions will have 2.5x+ ADV to sell.
- The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 28.6% over the last month. With positioning from a rebalance perspective mostly done, gradually unwind over the next few weeks.
NIFTY100 Low Volatility 30 Index Rebalance Preview: One Change in March
- There could be one change for the Nifty100 Low Volatility 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 March.
- Constituent changes, volatility changes and capping changes will result in one-way turnover of 12.6% and in a one-way trade of INR 3.7bn.
- While the deletion is fairly certain, there are a few non-constituents around the same level of volatility and price movements over the next few weeks will determine the inclusion.
State Bank of India (SBIN) – 3Q24 Update: Short-Term Pressure Is an Opportunity to Accumulate
- State Bank Of India (SBIN IN) has reported its 3Q24 (Dec-23) results with a one-off pension and wages revision charge which impacts the short-term earnings profile.
- Medium-Term ROE Forecast Intact (16% to 18%) with management confident of even touching 20% in next couple of years; loan growth forecast of 14% to 16% for FY25e-FY26e.
- We reiterate our view: P/BV is cheap at 1.3x FY25e. SBIN has the potential to re-rate to P/BV of ~1.6x FY25e in the near term (~40% upside). Opportunity to ADD.
Morning Views Asia: Bharti Airtel, Guangzhou R&F Properties, UPL Ltd
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.