Daily BriefsIndia

Daily Brief India: HDFC Bank, Tech Mahindra, HDFC Limited, TBO Tek, Premier Energies Limited and more

In today’s briefing:

  • HDFC Bank (HDFCB): Looking Beyond Short-Term Headwinds
  • Mohit Joshi: The Man Behind Tech Mahindra’s Strategic Shift
  • Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 1: We like Quality Name HDFC Bank, Baroda Is the Value Pick
  • TBO Tek Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison
  • Premier Energies Ltd IPO- Forensic Analysis


HDFC Bank (HDFCB): Looking Beyond Short-Term Headwinds

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • While HDFCB’s results have been somewhat lackluster over the past couple of quarters, this has been largely due to merger-related drags, tight liquidity and irrational competition in the marketplace.
  • From a medium-to-long-term perspective, the growth prospects for HDFCB remain tremendously attractive despite its large size, as evident from its consistent market share gains in deposits.
  • Q4FY24 earnings came largely in line with the expectation in terms of core earnings, except for one-off gain from an asset sale that was more than offset by floating provisions.

Mohit Joshi: The Man Behind Tech Mahindra’s Strategic Shift

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Under Mohit Joshi’s leadership, Tech Mahindra (TECHM IN) targets a 15%+ EBIT margin and revenue growth surpassing industry averages by FY2027, with a focus on operational reform and portfolio integration.
  • Project Fortius aims to achieve $250 million annual cost savings over 3 years, emphasizing high-margin services and organic growth, signaling a departure from  reliance on traditional acquisitions.
  • This strategic shift towards operational efficiency and organic growth alters the company’s outlook, positioning Tech Mahindra for sustainable growth and shareholder returns, underlining a commitment to long-term value creation.

Indian Banks Screener FYE24, Part 1: We like Quality Name HDFC Bank, Baroda Is the Value Pick

By Victor Galliano

  • HDFC Bank results to FYE24 are improving and we retain it as a buy, with pre-provision returns improving slightly QoQ and best in peer group NPL ratio and coverage
  • Bank of Baroda is our core value Indian bank pick, for its undemanding valuations, healthy ROE and potential for NPL improvements
  • Bandhan bank is a potential contrarian pick for its value attributes; we are cautious on State Bank of India for its delinquency risks, low core capital ratio 

TBO Tek Pre-IPO – Refiling Updates & Peer Comparison

By Ethan Aw

  • TBO Tek (0395045D IN) is looking to raise approximately US$200m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
  • In our previous note, we talked about the company’s historical performance. In this note, we talk about its refiling updates and undertake a peer comparison.

Premier Energies Ltd IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Premier Energies Limited (0377949D IN) is into manufacturing of solar cells and modules. The company is the second largest integrated player (cell+module) in India with a market share of 28%
  • The business has picked up in the last two years. Revenues, order book and capacities have increased and margins have also seen improvement. 
  • However, the company is struggling on cash conversion on the back of highly levered balance sheet. Focus should also be on few questionable related party transactions.

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